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小台chirly · 2022年04月09日

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NO.PZ201601050100001201

问题如下:

Calculate the contribution of foreign currency to the Bhatt account’s total return. Show your calculations.

选项:

解释:

Currency movements contributed 1.5% to the account’s 7.0% total (US dollar) return, calculated as follows:

The domestic-currency return (RDC ) on a portfolio of multiple foreign assets is


Where RFC ,i is the foreign-currency return on the ith foreign asset, RFX ,i is the appreciation of the ith foreign currency against the domestic currency, and Éi is the weight of the asset as a percentage of the aggregate domestic-currency value of the portfolio. This equation can be rearranged as


Therefore, the domestic-currency return is equal to the sum of the weighted asset return, the weighted currency return, and the weighted cross-product of the asset return and the currency return. The latter two terms explain the effects of foreign-currency movements on the Bhatt account’s total (US dollar) return of 7.0%.

The weighted asset return is equal to 5.5%, calculated as follows:

(0.50 × 10.0%) + (0.25 × 5.0%) + [0.25 × (–3.0%)] = 5.5%.

The weighted currency return is equal to 1.5% calculated as follows:

(0.50 × 0.0%) + (0.25 × 2.0%) + (0.25 × 4.0%) = 1.5%.

The weighted cross-product is equal to –0.005%, calculated as follows:

[0.50 × (10.0% × 0.0%)] + [0.25 × (5.0% × 2.0%)] + [0.25 × (–3.0% × 4.0%)] = –0.005%.

Therefore, the contribution of foreign currency equals 1.5%, calculated as the 7.0% total (US dollar) return less the 5.5% weighted asset return. Alternatively, the contribution of foreign currency to the total return can be calculated as the sum of the weighted currency return of 1.5% and the weighted cross-product of –0.005%:

1.5% + (–0.005%) = 1.495%, which rounds to 1.5%.

中文解析:

本题考察的是外汇投资中return的计算。

表格中给到的currency return是对应单个资产的,而本题中是投资了三个外币资产,因此是一个资产组合,所以涉及到加权平均的过程。

另外需要注意的是“the contribution of foreign currency”是包含了交叉项部分的return的。


老师,如果我们老老实实算,

EURO这个资产用USD计算的收益应该是:(1+5%)*(1+2%)-1=7.1%,因为他的比例是25%,所以最后应该是7.1%*25%=1.775%计算入总portfolio对吧?

同理,Japan资产,用USD计算的收益应该是:(1-3%)*(1+4%)=0.88%,按比例25%计算,最后是0.22%计算入总portfolio return

答案里虽然给了展开式,但是我用最基础的ΣwiR(dc)算并没有省略任何的部分呀,为什么1.775%+0.022%+50%*10%=6.995%而不等于7呢?


另外,问题是问,foreign currency return 对整个portfolio的贡献。 为什么不能理解为[R(dc)-euro]+[R(dc)-japan]对于总体return的贡献呢?

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已采纳答案

Hertz_品职助教 · 2022年04月12日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


同学你好

同学的疑惑在于不明白为什么计算 the contribution of foreign currency,是只算红框的部分,因为按照同学的理解应该是英国资产和日本资产的所有的return哈

是这样的哈~

首先,我们需要明确的一点是收益率是没有货币单位的。比如你是个中国人,你可以投资美元资产,比如收益率是2%,如果你不打算把这个资产转成人民币,那么你获得的就是2%,跟买人民币资产获得的2%没什么不同,这个时候我们不需要考虑货币单位,收益率就是收益率,没有货币单位的。但是一旦我们要把这个资产换成人民币,那么就要考虑汇率问题了,获得总收益率就可能不是2%,那么这中间的差额就是contribution of foreign currency,也可以表述成contribution of exchange rate。

或者我们可以这样思考,我们来比较两种情况:

1、不考虑foreign currency的问题,我们直接获得的就是asset return

2、考虑foreign currency,我们获得的是asset return + contribution of foreign currency

题目中问的是第2中情况相比于第1种情况多出来的部分,所以就是只对应红框的部分了。

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加油吧,让我们一起遇见更好的自己!

小台chirly · 2022年04月12日

好,这次懂了,感谢老师

Hertz_品职助教 · 2022年04月12日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


不客气,加油!

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

Hertz_品职助教 · 2022年04月11日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


同学你好~

问题1:

你的计算没有问题,题干只是取了近似数而已.

具体计算:

针对EUR资产,计算的Rdc=0.071;

针对JPY资产,计算的Rdc=0.0088

所以加权后的R_dc=0.5*0.1 + 0.25 * 0.071 + 0.25 * 0.0088=0.06995≈7%

同学的思路没有问题,题干给的是约等于后的数据,不必纠结。

问题2:

可以。

其实问题问的就是下面等式中红线圈出来的部分,或者直接计算,或者像同学说的从整体的return中减掉黄线圈出来的部分,总之结果都是一样的。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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