NO.PZ2019070101000108
问题如下:
Which of the following statements is an advantage of the implied
volatility method in estimating future volatility?
选项:
A.The implied
volatility model reacts immediately to changing market conditions.
The implied
volatility model is not model dependent.
The implied
volatility is constant through time.
The implied
volatility is biased upward and is therefore more conservative.
解释:
The only advantage listed is that the implied volatility model reacts immediately to changing market conditions. Forecast models based on historical data require time to adjust to market events. Disadvantages include the following: (1) implied volatility is model dependent;(2) a major assumption of the model is that asset follows a continuous time lognormal diffusion process and are assumed to be constant but that implied volatility varies through time; and (3) implied volatility is biased upward.
既然implied volatility通常高于actual volatility,那么确实是保守估计的呀。