NO.PZ201702190100000103
问题如下:
3.Which of the following statements regarding the VaR of the Index Plus Fund is correct?
选项:
A.The expected maximum loss for the portfolio is $6.5 million.
B.Five percent of the time, the portfolio can be expected to experience a loss of at least $6.5 million.
C.Ninety-five percent of the time, the portfolio can be expected to experience a one-day loss of no more than $6.5 million.
解释:
B is correct.
VaR measures the frequency of losses of a given minimum magnitude. Here the VaR indicates that on 5% of trading days, the portfolio will experience a loss of at least $6.5 million. (Although C may appear to say the same thing as B, it actually implies that the portfolio will experience a loss on 95% of trading days.) The correct interpretation is that returns will be equal to or greater than -$6.5 million on 95% of trading days; those returns include gains as well as losses.
考点:VaR的定义
解析:
这道原版书课后题不够严谨!
A:错在expected,VaR不是期望(或者说均值) ,它体现的是最大/最小损失。
B:5%的时间有最小损失$6.5 m。B选项其实并不完整,它没有说清time period。但是原版书答案为B。
C:95%的时间在一天内的最大损失为$6.5 m,描述本身没有问题,但参考答案给出解释:it implies that the portfolio will experience a loss on 95% of trading days,意思是说这样的表达暗示了组合在95%的时间里都会面临损失,尽管也有可能获得收益,但是如果是跟领导汇报,这样的表达被引起误解。
总结:如果B选项把time period补充进去,那么BC其实都对。如果考试的时候遇到,我们按照原版书的解释,选B更合适。
为什么 c 不是正确答案