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李梦璐 · 2022年02月06日

不理解B选项

NO.PZ2017100901000025

问题如下:

A product is part of a price index based on a fixed consumption basket. If, over time, the product’s quality improves while its price stays constant, the measured inflation rate is most likely:

选项:

A.

unaffected.

B.

biased upward.

C.

biased downward.

解释:

B is correct.

As the quality of a product improves, it satisfies peoples needs and wants better. The measured inflation rate is skewed higher than otherwise unless an adjustment is made for the increase in the quality of the good. Even if the goods price had increased over time, the improvements in quality would still bias the measured inflation rate upward.

考点: inflation Measurement

解析:更好质量的产品应该对应更高的价格水平,现在物价水平没有变动,但是质量变好了。

那么经过审慎思考的通胀率( measured inflation rate )就应该上调当前通胀率的数值,以此来反应商品质量的进步。

调整过的index那不就是正确的了么?为何还会有bias偏误呢?是说调整后的跟没调整的真实数据比么?

1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2022年02月06日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:



这里有个参照物的概念,没有绝对的up和down,要看和什么比。既然是调整后的,那自然是和未调整的做对比


调整过的index那不就是正确的了么?

是正确的。


是说调整后的跟没调整的真实数据比么?

理解正确,说的就是调整后,与未做调整,进行比较。


为何还会有bias偏误呢?

这里的bias可以这么理解,理解为差异,而不是偏差,它不要理解为贬义词,可以理解为中性词。假设未调整是正确的,调整与未调整就是有差异的

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