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开泰-王飞 · 2022年01月15日

tips不是仅补偿人的不耐情绪吗?答案c也太明白它说的意思

NO.PZ2015121810000027

问题如下:

The prices of one-period, real default-free government bonds are likely to be most sensitive to changes in:

选项:

A.

investors’ inflation expectations.

B.

the expected volatility of economic growth.

C.

the covariance between investors’ inter-temporal rates of substitution and the expected future prices of the bonds.

解释:

B is correct.

Only changes in default-free real interest rates will affect the price of real, default-free bonds. The average level of default-free real interest rates is positively related to the volatility of economic growth in the economy; thus, changes in the expected volatility of economic growth would likely lead to changes in real default-free real interest rates, which in turn would affect the prices of real, default-free government bonds.

考点:Discount Rate on Real Default-free Bonds

解析:排除法

A, real bonds不会受到通货膨胀的影响,nominal bonds才会。

B,volatility of economic growth影响分母l,即real default-free interest rate,所以B正确

C,one-period的债券价格不受covariance的影响,因为one-period default free bond的covariance=0。只有多期债券才会受covariance影响。

其中inter-temporal rate 与maginal utility关系还是不太明白

1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2022年01月15日

同学你好,

 real default-free government bonds的价格受利率default-free real interest rates影响,而利率又受到以下两个因素影响:

higher trend real economic growth have higher real default-free interest rates

即经济增长更快的地方利率更高

The real interest rates are higher in an economy in which GDP growth is more volatile

即经济不稳定的地方利率更高

所以可以直接根据第②条选择B选项。

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C选项中的covariance对应的是多期债券的情况,和本题的one-period的债券无关。这里的对应考点为:对于risk-averse的投资者,多期债券的covariance为负。

------

涉及inter-temporal rate的结论为:One-period real risk-free rate is inversely related to the inter- temporal rate of substitution(m).即m和利率负相关。此条和本题无关。


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