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弓 · 2022年01月11日

我对representativeness学得很难受

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ201511190100000306

问题如下:

Which one of the following biases did Jordan not demonstrate?

选项:

A.

Self-attribution.

B.

Representativeness.

C.

Illusion of knowledge.

解释:

B is correct.

Nowhere in the scenario did it mention that Jordan classified certain information into a personalized category. Representativeness bias is a cognitive bias in which people tend to classify new information based on past experiences and classifications. Jordan is not relating the certainty about the future or her decision to hold losing positions back to something she has done or experienced in the past.

一方面,通过representativeness bias与conservatism bias的辨析来学习,可以理解较透彻,Base-rate neglect and sample-size neglect也能理解地很好。对于此题而言,如果representativeness bias是对新信息overreact,那么文中主人公对价格反转的坚信,就算表现了什么,也应该是conservatism bias。

另一方面,教材对representativeness bias的定义又看得很难受,people tend to classify new information based on past experiences and classifications,一下子搞得文中主人公的行为似乎也符合这种定义。


所以,真的是对representiveness bias很晕

1 个答案

王琛_品职助教 · 2022年01月14日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


1

题干背景中,Jordan 并没有将对未来的确定性,或她持有亏损仓位的决定,与她在过去所做的或经历的事情联系起来

题干只说了 strategy has performed well in the past,策略本身在过去表现很好,但是并没有通过关键词表述比如:之前有一次亏损的时候,Jordan 坚持不卖,然后过来一段时间,组合回本且盈利了,Jordan 根据那次经历积累了经验,所以当现在遇到类似的情况,Jordan 根据之前的经验,坚持不卖

如果题干有表述上述情况,我觉得选 representativeness 是可以的,但是题干并没有表述

加上另外两个选项其实没有异议,所以综合来看,这道题是选的 representativeness

2

我个人建议,这道题不用纠结为何题干没有体现出 representativeness;如果考试涉及 representativeness,肯定是非常严谨,没有任何异议的题干背景描述

所以这道题带给我们的价值,建议是去关注 Jordan 哪里体现出了另外两个偏差

----------------------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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