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aileen20180623 · 2022年01月01日

情景分析的优点VS VAR

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NO.PZ201702190100000204

问题如下:

4.The scenario analysis that Hamilton prepares for the committee is a valuable tool to supplement VaR because it:

选项:

A.

incorporates historical data to evaluate the risk in the tail of the VaR distribution.

B.

enables Hamilton to isolate the risk stemming from a single risk factorthe ratings downgrade.

C.

allows the committee to assess the effect of low liquidity in the event of a ratings downgrade.

解释:

C is correct.

A hypothetical scenario analysis allows Hamilton to estimate the direct effect of a ratings downgrade on the portfolios government bond holdings and the resulting need to sell a number of the portfolio’s holdings because they no longer meet the ratings guidelines. VaR alone does not accurately reflect the risk of large position sizes, which may be difficult to trade. The hypothetical scenario analysis will also highlight the effect of increased economic turmoil on all of the portfolio’s exposures, not only the government bond exposures.

考点: scenario analysis

解析:A错在 historical data ,情景分析可以衡量尾部风险,但本题没有使用历史数据。

B,意思是情景分析可以把评级下调这一个风险因子独立出来,错,情景分析最大的优点是可以同时考虑多个风险因子的影响,独立出单一风险因子的是sensitivity analysis。

C, scenario analysis相对于VaR的最大优点是考虑了流动性风险,所以C正确

流动性是Scenrio 最大的优点?

在课件哪里?

1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2022年01月03日

同学你好,

VaR的缺点是不能衡量流动性风险。

由于scenario analysis可以将流动性设置为场景中的一部分,所以弥补了这个缺点。