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陳泰傑 · 2021年11月19日

對題目解析不理解

NO.PZ2018091705000101

问题如下:

 Açor reviews a recent risk tolerance questionnaire completed by Njau, which relates to overall portfolio risk. Açor focuses on the type of capital sufficiency analysis to perform for Njau. To determine the optimal allocation, Açor seeks to ensure that Njau’s charitable pledge can be met and implements a goal- based investing approach. Açor runs a Monte Carlo simulation to determine the probability of success, which is the likelihood that Njau can meet her charitable pledge objective. The simulation results are presented in Exhibit 2.

Açor’s portfolio allocation for Njau is most likely optimized on the basis of: 

选项:

A.

a stated maximum level of volatility. 

B.

 total portfolio mean–variance efficiency.

C.

 the results of the risk tolerance questionnaire.

解释:

A is correct. Açor uses the goal- based investing approach by allocating with a focus on Njau’s charitable pledge to Udhamini. With this method, she seeks to optimize Njau’s portfolio so that the pledge goal has a high probability of being met. Açor will set aside a required amount of funds to invest, and a mean–variance optimization will be run specifically for that portion of Njau’s portfolio. The funds will be invested to a stated maximum level of volatility to meet the charitable need.

我看了之前的回答 助教叫我們參閱講義第79頁的內容,其中這一句話不太懂(講義的內容)



goal portfolios are optimized either to a stated maximum level of volatility or to a specified probability of success 有點不懂什麼意思

2 个答案

王暄_品职助教 · 2022年05月18日

请问框架图里哪里写了目标组合最优化只有这两种形式?我只看到investment planning下的Monte Carlo simulation提到probability of success

请参加下图强化班讲义:

王暄_品职助教 · 2021年11月22日

目标投资组合被优化可以有两种形式,第一根据最大波动水平来优化(stated maximum level of volatility)或者干脆根据一个成功概率(probability success)来优化。


题干中提到Acor用的是goal-based investing approach, 所以我们要分层考虑每一个goal,也就是在每一个goal内,用mean-variance optimization,那么B一定是错的,因为说的是total portfolio mean-variance efficiency


在每一个goal内使用mean-variance optimization,波动越大收益越大,那么可以在投资者可接受范围内挑一个最大风险的allocation以便于获得最大化的收益去实现charitable need,所以选A。


而A根本就没有这种调查问卷的方法,纯属凑选项的

虎哥 · 2022年05月18日

请问框架图里哪里写了目标组合最优化只有这两种形式?我只看到investment planning下的Monte Carlo simulation提到probability of success

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