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AmberLiu · 2021年11月01日

为什么不选B?

NO.PZ2018091706000044

问题如下:

BBQ firm is an American company and exported steel to a firm which is in England. For some reasons, BBQ will receive the payment of 3,600,000 GBP in six months and the firm would change these pounds into dollars. To hedge the currency risk, BBQ enters a 6 month forward contract to sold GBP at 1.5512USD/GBP

Three months passed. Now, the spot exchange market rate is 1.5500 USD/GBP for bid and 1.5505 for ask .The firm collects the forward rates and 90-Day Libor in the following tables:

According to the above information, the mark-to-market value for BBC’s forward position is closest to:

选项:

A.

USD 324.

B.

USD -323.64.

C.

USD 323.64.

解释:

C is correct.

考点Mark to-Market Value

解析BBQ公司进入了一份时长6个月的外汇合约它担心卖出GBP贬值所以该合约是卖GBPUSD即在合约到期时公司要以1.5512USD/GBP的价格卖出GBP现在过去三个月那么截止当前该合约还剩3个月到期由于3个月后公司需要进入一份与期初头寸相反的对冲合约来结束期初的合约所以那时BBQ应该买入GBP卖出USD买入GBP就需要以做市商的卖价ask买入所以我们求得未来3个月 USD/GBP的市场报价1.5505 +0.00061=1.55111

由于买价是1.55111卖价是1.5512所以3,600,000 GBP的本金在合约到期时的利润就是1.5512-1.55111×3,600,000 = 324USD但是这个数值是到期时合约的价值,我们对其往前折现3个月才能求得合约在当前的价值本题中的标价货币是USD所以折现时候需要使用USD3个月利率水平USD 3241+0.0045(90/360)=USD 323.64\frac{USD\text{ 324}}{1+0.0045{(90/360)}}=USD\text{ }323.64

买价是1.55111,卖价是1.5512。利润为啥不是向上箭头 -向下箭头,(1.55111 - 1.5512)×3,600,000 = -324USD再折现?


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已采纳答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2021年11月01日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


解决的思路:

一是把汇率当成一种商品。在本题中,可以把GBP当做苹果,然后用美元去买卖这个苹果。这样思路就会比较顺。

二是作出现金流量图。Mark to market的解题思路都是一样的,不会有什么变化。

 

先按照以上思路把题目解一遍,然后回答你后面提的问题。




买价是1.55111,卖价是1.5512。利润为啥不是向上箭头 -向下箭头,(1.55111 - 1.5512)×3,600,000 = -324USD再折现?


你把汇率想想成苹果,这个苹果的卖出价是1.5512,这个苹果的买入价是1.55111,因此这个苹果,高价卖出,低价买入,是由利润的。

应该用:卖出价-买入价 = (1.5512-1.55111)×3600000=324USD。



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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

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