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徐威廉 · 2021年10月20日

汇率涨跌问题

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ201601050100000302

问题如下:

2. For Subscriber 2, and assuming all of the choices relate to the KRW/USD exchange rate, the best way to implement the trading strategy would be to:

选项:

A.

write a straddle.

B.

buy a put option.

C.

use a long NDF position.

解释:

C is correct.

Based on predicted export trends, Subscriber 2 most likely expects the KRW/USD rate to appreciate (i.e., the wonthe price currencyto depreciate relative to the USD). This would require a long forward position in a forward contract, but as a country with capital controls, a NDF would be used instead. (Note: While forward contracts offered by banks are generally an institutional product, not retail, the retail version of a non-deliverable forward contract is known as a -contract for differences- (CFD) and is available at several retail FX brokers.)

A is incorrect because Subscriber 2 expects the KRW/USD rate to appreciate. A short straddle position would be used when the direction of exchange rate movement is unknown and volatility is expected to remain low.

B is incorrect because a put option would profit from a depreciation of the KRW/USD rate, not an appreciation (as expected). Higher volatility would also make buying a put option more expensive.

文中“Both trends can combine to possibly affect the value of the won (KRW) relative to the US dollar. ”这句话不是在说韩元升值吗?所以美元贬值,我就选了long put on usd
2 个答案
已采纳答案

Hertz_品职助教 · 2021年10月21日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


同学你好

这道题目韩元是在贬值,美元是预计升值的。题眼在第一句话,即题干说韩国出口变慢即在下降,美国出口增加。这个现象会导致了美元的升值,因为美国出口增加,市场上就需要更多美元来购买美国的商品,对美元的需求增加,从而导致美元升值。

然后看问题他问的是关于KRW/USD的策略,研究对象也是在说分母位置的美元,预测美元升值,因此可以long forward,由于资本管制,所以使用的是特殊的远期合约,即NDF。在这里直接把NDF当成普通的远期合约即可。

“Both trends can combine to possibly affect the value of the won (KRW) relative to the US dollar.”这句话的意思是这种趋势结合起来可能会影响韩元对美元的汇率,看不出谁升值谁贬值

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

Hertz_品职助教 · 2021年10月22日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


won是韩元的意思

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加油吧,让我们一起遇见更好的自己!

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