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yewei1989 · 2021年10月18日

对于b的解释没看懂能用中文再解释一下嘛?

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ201902210100000103

问题如下:

Among the carry trades available in the US, Euro, and UK markets, the highest expected return for the USD-denominated portfolio over the next 6 months is closest to:

选项:

A.

0.275%.

B.

0.85%.

C.

0.90%.

解释:

B is correct.

The highest potential return, 0.85%, reflects borrowing USD for 6 months and buying the UK 5-year bond. The carry component of the expected return is actually a loss of 0.15% [= (1.10% – 1.40%)/2], but this is more than offset by the 1% expected appreciation of GBP versus USD. A much higher carry component +0.90% = (1.95% – 0.15%)/2 could be obtained by borrowing for 6 months in EUR to buy the US 5-year note, but that advantage would be more than offset by the expected 1% loss from depreciation of the USD (long) against the Euro (short).

A is incorrect because a higher expected return of 0.85% can be obtained. This answer, +0.275% [= (1.95% – 1.40%)/2], is the highest carry available over the next 6 months within the US market itself (an intra-market carry trade).

C is incorrect. This answer (+0.90%) is the highest potential carry component of return but ignores the impact of currency exposure (being long the depreciating USD and short the appreciating Euro).

用中文解释一下b,不是最高是0.9%,为啥子不选c呢?

2 个答案

pzqa015 · 2021年10月20日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


1、因为W同学对收益率曲线的预期是6个月(W expects yields in the US、Euro、UK and German markets to remain stable over the next six months),所以投资期就是6个月;收益率曲线全部上行,所以投资5年的利差最大,所以借6个月,投资5年。

2、收益除以2是因为给的利率都是年化的,所以6个月年化利率要除以2。

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pzqa015 · 2021年10月19日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


C选项:0.9%是借6M Eur,投5Y Usd的结果,但是没考虑USD相对EUR贬值1%,所以不选,正确的借6MEUR,投5Y USD的收益是:(1.95%-0.15%)/2-1%=-0.1%。

B选项:借6M USD,投5Y UK,收益是:(1.1%-1.4%)/2+1%=0.85%

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加油吧,让我们一起遇见更好的自己!

Meixf · 2021年10月20日

Hello,有两个问题。 1. 为什么要投/借6个月和五年?为什么不看其他的年份。 2.为什么这里算收益都要除以2? (1.1%-1.4%)/2+1%=0.85%