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LHY · 2021年09月15日

如何识别total return

NO.PZ2018103102000152

问题如下:

A Canadian company in the consumer staples sector with a required rate of return of 7.35%. Recent media reports suggest that ABC might be a takeover candidate. Peters and her team estimate that if a new government takes office in Canada, then the ABC will likely grow by 3.5% indefinitely.

If Peters and her team use the Gordon growth model and assume that Company ABC stock is fairly valued, then which of the following would most likely be true? 


选项:

A.

The total return of ABC stock will be 10.85%. 

B.

The dividend yield of ABC stock will be 3.85% 

C.

The stock price of ABC will grow at 7.35% annually 

解释:

In the Gordon growth model, Total return = Dividend yield + Capital gains yield (i.e., constant growth rate). When a stock is fairly valued, the expected total return will equal the required return or discount rate (i.e., 7.35%). In the case of ABC, the total return is 7.35% and the capital gains yield is 3.5%. Therefore, the dividend yield is 7.35% – 3.5% = 3.85% 

我理解的7点几是行业R

而企业本身永续3+%增长

所以是7+3 = 企业的return?


而从答案看行业R直接被视作了企业的Total return是为什么呢?

1 个答案
已采纳答案

王园圆_品职助教 · 2021年09月15日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


同学你好,可能题目的第一句话有一些歧义,让你以为这个行业的要求回报率是7.35%。可是,公司的总回报率并不等于行业的要求回报率+ 公司自己的增长率呢。CFA的书上并没有任何一个公式提供了公司自身要求回报率和行业回报率之间的计算关系式哦~~

书上提供的公式:total return = Dividend yield + Capital gains yield = (Pt- Po + Div)/Po = expected return

本题又强调公司是被正确定价的,说明投资人的required return = 公司的expected return

所以可得公司total return = 7.35%,并且已知growth rate(即capital gain yield),可得dividend yield.

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

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