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玛卡巴卡 · 2021年09月14日

inter market carry trade

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ201902210100000106

问题如下:

If Winslow is allowed to hedge into any of the currencies, she can obtain the highest expected returns by

选项:

A.

buying the Greek 5-year in each portfolio and hedging it into Pesos.

B.

buying the Greek 5-year in each portfolio and hedging it into USD.

C.

buying the Mexican 5-year in each portfolio and not hedging the currency.

解释:

A is correct.

As shown in the previous question, the Greek bond is the most attractive. Although the Peso is expected to depreciate by 2% against the EUR and the GBP and by 1% against the USD, this is less than the benefit of hedging EUR into MXN (+3.475%). The net currency component of the expected return is +1.475% = (3.475% – 2.0%) for the EUR and GBP portfolios and +2.475% = (3.475% – 1.0%) for the USD-denominated portfolio. Hedging into GBP would add only 0.175% for any of the portfolios. Hedging into USD would reduce expected return for any of the portfolios because the pick up on the hedge (+0.625%) is less than the expected depreciation (–1.0%) of the USD against the Euro and GBP.

B is incorrect. Hedging the Euro-denominated Greek bond into USD would reduce expected return for any of the portfolios because the pick on the hedge (+0.625%) is less than the expected depreciation of the USD against the Euro and GBP.

C is incorrect. As shown above, the Greek bond is more attractive than the Mexican bond.

PESO相比美元贬值的多,不是应该hedge成贬值少的货币么?

1 个答案

pzqa015 · 2021年09月15日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


同学你好

这道题的解题思路是这样的:

1、在Greek与MXN中选出最attractive的币种,从EUR、GBP、USD三者中选择任意一种货币作为portfolio dominated currency(比如选择EUR),根据公式RDC=RFC+RFX,RFC是Greek、MXN货币标价的两种资产收益率,RFX是EUR/MXN形式的MXN升贬值幅度(Greek以EUR计量,Greek的RFX=0)

2、选出attractive的资产后,三个portfolio 都可以投资,此时,用covered interest parity计算的RFX和基金经理预期的RFX比较,如果基金经理预期的RFX大,那么unhedge,如果covered interest parity计算的RFX大,那么hedge。

解题过程如下图:


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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

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