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littlebabyfats · 2021年09月11日

选A为什么不行?

NO.PZ2019012201000057

问题如下:

Next, Leeter describes the investment approach of the Kopernicus Fund. Kopernicus makes extensive use of market data to support its primary focus—pairs trading between industry peers. Statistical techniques identify two securities that have been highly correlated with each other in the past. If the price relationship between a pair diverges, Kopernicus expects mean reversion over a few days or weeks and places long–short positions accordingly to take advantage of the divergence.

Which risk management method is the Kopernicus Fund most likely to use to offset the primary risk of its strategy?

选项:

A.

Proper identification of the pairs

B.

Frequent use of stop-loss order rules

C.

Extensive analysis of the limit order book

解释:

The biggest risk in pairs trading is that the observed price divergence is not temporary and could be due to structural reasons. Frequent use of stop-loss rules, which are set to exit trades when a loss limit is reached, addresses this risk.

A is incorrect. Although proper identification of the pairs to be used is critical to the success of this statistical arbitrage strategy, the selection process alone does nothing to address the risk that changes in fundamentals between the companies in the pair may occur, thereby extending (or eliminating) price convergence.

C is incorrect. Using the limit order book to identify pairs pricing anomalies implies a very short time frameas brief as a few millisecondsand focuses on high-frequency trading. Kopernicus lets trades play out for days or weeks; therefore, using the limit order book will not help it.

A is incorrect. Although proper identification of the pairs to be used is critical to the success of this statistical arbitrage strategy, the selection process alone does nothing to address the risk that changes in fundamentals between the companies in the pair may occur, thereby extending (or eliminating) price convergenc

请问怎么 理解上面这一段话?

选A,感觉也没有错啊。

1 个答案
已采纳答案

伯恩_品职助教 · 2021年09月11日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


你follow 伯恩老师的思路看哈。这个题是什么意思呢,是说想做pair trade,但是担心风险,担心什么风险呢,首先了解什么是pair trade,是指比如中石油和中石化,它们价格一直是一样的。但是突然呢,中石化从9元涨到10元了,中石油从9元跌到8元,基本面两个都没有变化,这个价格divergence了,原因可能就是二级市场的情绪炒作,长期看应该价格还是回归一样的。于是就做对中石油,做空中石化。期待它们重新价格回归一样,赚点小钱钱。但是呢,做过股票的都知道,有什么二级市场上,涨起来或者跌起来不仅没有原因而且没完没了,那结果中石油进一步下跌,中石化进一步上涨,反而亏损,长期看应该肯定会回归,但是问题是可能投资者等不了那么久。于是最好的方法就是趁着损失还不大,赶快止损。这样理解了吗?

然后A为什么不行,因为比如伯恩老师举的这个例子就是Proper identification of the pairs,长期看肯定会回归的,但是短期就不回归,投资者等不了,还是没用啊,是不是?这样是不是懂了?

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