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13581943293 · 2021年08月27日

如果cash flow 的方向变化两次,不是IRR不能用吗?

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NO.PZ201601200500000902

问题如下:

2. The NPV and IRR, respectively, of the Gasup Company investment are closest to:

选项:

A.

$509,600 and 21.4%.

B.

$509,600 and 31.3%.

C.

$946,700 and 31.3%.

解释:

A is correct.

The cash flows (in $ million) for the 5-year gas project are as follows:

Given the required rate of return of 18 percent, the NPV can be calculated with Equation 2 or with a financial calculator:

beginarraylNPV=6.0+0.51.18+4.01.182+4.01.183+4.01.184+1.01.185NPV=$509,579begin{array}{l}NPV=-6.0+\frac{-0.5}{1.18}+\frac{4.0}{1.18^2}+\frac{4.0}{1.18^3}+\frac{4.0}{1.18^4}+\frac{-1.0}{1.18^5}\\NPV=\$509,579

Similarly, the IRR can be calculated from Equation 3:

6.0+0.51+r+4.0(1+r)2+4.0(1+r)3+4.0(1+r)4+1.0(1+r)5=0-6.0+\frac{-0.5}{1+r}+\frac{4.0}{{(1+r)}^2}+\frac{4.0}{{(1+r)}^3}+\frac{4.0}{{(1+r)}^4}+\frac{-1.0}{{(1+r)}^5}=0

Solving for r with a financial calculator or spreadsheet software will yield 21.4 percent for the internal rate of return. Note that in spite of the fact that we are dealing with a nonconventional cash flow pattern, the IRR has a unique solution. The NPV profile declines as the required rate of return increases, and the NPV value crosses the x-axis (required rate of return) only one time, at 21.4 percent.

如果cash flow 的方向变化两次,不是IRR不能用吗?因为不是conventional的cash flow. 我以为IRR算的不对能? 我以为IRR只能用再conventional cash flow中。

1 个答案
已采纳答案

王琛_品职助教 · 2021年08月27日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


严谨的说法是:如果 cash flow 的方向变化两次,「最多」是有两个 IRR

即:可能没有 IRR,也可能有唯一的 IRR,或者有两个 IRR

cash flow 方向变化两次,并不意味着就一定会产生两个 IRR,只是意味着有可能

比如这道题,虽然现金流方向变化两次,但是也只有一个 IRR

原文请参考原版书 P25

"For example, a project with two sign changes could have zero, one, or two IRRs. Having two sign changes does not mean that you will have multiple IRRs; it just means that you might."

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!