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yaokylu · 2021年08月19日

B选项不对吧。

NO.PZ2015120204000012

问题如下:

Batten runs a regression analysis using Stellar monthly returns (248 months) as the dependent variable and the monthly change in CPIENG (US Consumer Price Index for Energy) as the independent variable.

For the analysis run by Batten, which of the following is an incorrect conclusion from the regression output?

选项:

A.

The estimated intercept coefficient from Batten’s regression is statistically significant at the 0.05 level.

B.

In the month after the CPIENG declines, Stellar’s common stock is expected to exhibit a positive return.

C.

Viewed in combination, the slope and intercept coefficients from Batten’s regression are not statistically significant at the 0.05 level.

解释:

C is correct.

C is the correct response, because it is a false statement. The slope and intercept are both statistically significant.

可以证明Y变化量大于零,并不能说明Y大于零啊。您看我理解哪里有问题。谢谢
1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2021年08月19日

同学你好,

Y的值可以根据方程进行计算。反应Y变化的是X前的系数(slope coefficient)。

这里的X本身是“ the monthly change in CPIENG”。

B选项中,“In the month after the CPIENG declines”说明此时的X变量小于0,根据题干表格X的系数(-0.6486)也小于0,截距项大于0,这样代入负值的X后得出来的Y一定是个正数。