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Shawnxz · 2021年08月15日

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NO.PZ201601050100000101

问题如下:

1. Analyze the movement of the USD against the foreign currency for Portfolio A. Justify your choice.

选项:

解释:

 

Justification

The 19.5% domestic-currency return for Portfolio A is higher than the 15% foreign-currency portfolio return in GBP; therefore, the USD necessarily depreciated relative to the GBP.

The domestic-currency return on a foreign portfolio will reflect both the foreign-currency return on the portfolio and the percentage movements in the spot exchange rate between the domestic and foreign currency. The domestic-currency return is multiplicative with respect to these two factors:

RDC = (1 + RFC)(1 + RFX)  1

where RDC is the domestic-currency return (in percent), RFC is the foreign-currency return of the asset (portfolio), and RFX is the percentage change of the foreign currency against the domestic currency. (Note that in the RFX expression the domestic currency the USD in this case is the price currency.)

Solving for RFX: (1 + 15%)(1 + RFX)  1 = 19.50%; RFX = 3.91%

Thus, the USD depreciated relative to the GBP. That is, the GBP appreciated against the USD because RFX is quoted in terms of USD/GBP, with the USD as the price currency and GBP as the base currency, and in this example RFX is a positive number (3.91%).

题目中不是已知Portfolio A的回报率是19.5% (是以GBP计价), Portfolio B是0 (以美元计价)。这种情况下,问题中又提了Portfolio A的回报率是15%是什么意思?

另外,通过题干不是就能解决问题了吗?GBP的 return高,钱会涌入GBP, 导致GBP升值,USD贬值吗?

答案的解题逻辑是什么?

谢谢

1 个答案
已采纳答案

pzqa015 · 2021年08月15日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


Portfolio A and portfolio B are managed in the US and performance is measured in terms of the USD.这句话的意思是A和B是USD计价的portfolio,后面说A投资GBP资产,B投资EUR资产。

 

19.5%是Aportfolio以USD计价的收益率(domestic currency return),也就是RDC

表格展示的是RFC(也就是以GBP计价的收益率)。

根据RDC=RFC+Rfx这个公式(RDC=(1+RFC)(1+RFX)-1的简化形式)。

RDC=19.5%,RFC=15%,所以RFX>0,而RFX的表达形式为USD/GBP,所以GBP升值,USD贬值,这是这道题想得到的结论。

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