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ladycoco想放假 · 2021年08月07日

No.PZ201809170400000403

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NO.PZ201809170400000403

问题如下:

Which manager is most likely to get caught in a value trap?

选项:

A.

Furlings

B.

Asgard

C.

Tokra

解释:

C is the correct answer. A value trap occurs when a stock that appears to have an attractive valuation because of a low P/E and/or P/B multiple (or other relevant value proxies) appears cheap only because of its worsening growth prospects. Although a pitfall such as value trap is more common in fundamental investing, a quantitative process that relies on historical information and does not integrate future expectations about cash flows or profitability may be unable to detect a value trap.

A is an incorrect answer. Although Furlings is a top-down manager, its sector portfolios are built through investing in a small number of high-conviction securities after its analysts have dissected the financial statements and analyzed the competitive landscape and growth prospects. Managers at Furlings are more likely than managers at Tokra to be aware of the significant deteriorating prospects of a security they are considering for investment.

B is an incorrect answer. One of Asgard’s investment criteria is identifying firms that have good potential cash flow growth over the next three years. The firm has access to database and support tools, allowing its analysts to evaluate many potential growth metrics. Managers at Asgard are more likely than managers at Tokra to be aware of the significant deteriorating prospects of a security they are considering for investment.

这道题是怎么得出答案的?能不能分析下解题思路 无从下手啊 不知道怎么判断出来是C的

1 个答案
已采纳答案

伯恩_品职助教 · 2021年08月07日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


同学你好:这个题的思路是指谁可能会陷入价值陷阱中,首先能陷入价值陷阱的肯定是追求价值的,如果是追求成长的,必然不会陷入价值陷阱。

下来在说说为什么会陷入价值陷阱,T同学非常看重P/B模式,他就会追求P/B低的,这样就可以相当于低价买入了。但是如果这个P/B低的公司以后经营环境持续恶化,比如我们认为很牛的锥子手机,股价下跌,P/B也下来了,但是后期锤子手机经营一直在下滑,最终还是亏损了。这就是价值陷阱。如果不懂,再举个例子,比如口罩,过去一元一个,后来疫情涨到了100元一个,然后大规模生产了,又降价了0.8元一个,这时候对比,发觉估值低了(P/B或者PE低了)买入以后后面会涨到1元,但是口罩还在大规模生产,很快通胀了,0.1元一个口罩了,这时候就亏损。这就是价值陷阱。你可以大概对比理解。

这个题就是问谁可能会陷入价值陷阱。还是开头说的,只有关注这个指标的才可能陷入这个价值陷阱中。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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