开发者:上海品职教育科技有限公司 隐私政策详情

应用版本:4.2.11(IOS)|3.2.5(安卓)APP下载

很不酷 · 2021年06月08日

risk premium 和 inflation 是什么关系?

NO.PZ2018091706000061

问题如下:

Assume that the DM country has what is considered a low-yield safe haven currency while the EM country has a high-yield currency whose value is more exposed to fluctuations in the global economic growth rate. All else equal, the exchange rate for the EM currency will most likely depreciate if the:


选项:

A.

long-run equilibrium value of the high-yield currency is revised upward 

B.

nominal yield spread between the EM and DM countries increases over time 

C.

expected inflation differential between the EM and DM countries is revised upward 

解释:

All else equal, an increase in the expected inflation differential should lead to depreciation of the EM currency.

解析:

real exchange rate (A/B) = equilibrium real exchange rate + (real interest rate B - real interest rate A)- (risk premium B - risk premium A)

根据上述公式。所以AB选项错误。

在其它条件相同的情况下,预期通胀率的扩大会加两国的风险溢价之差,从而应会导致新兴市场货币贬值。所以C选项正确。


Inflation高,risk就高吗?这个是怎么推出来的?另外题目中也没有说是谁的inflation升高,如果是DM通胀呢。

3 个答案

丹丹_品职答疑助手 · 2021年07月11日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


同学你好,我们可以将nomial interest rate =real interest rate +risk premium,一般情况下我们认为 real interest rate t-bill rate,而将通货膨胀/信用利差/期限利差等反应在risk premium中,这个应该是结合了一级固定收益相关知识点

----------------------------------------------
加油吧,让我们一起遇见更好的自己!

丹丹_品职答疑助手 · 2021年06月09日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


同学你好,题目中说了low-safe 以及high-safe ,low safe 的risk premium会比较高。

----------------------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

丹丹_品职答疑助手 · 2021年06月08日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


同学你好,inflation可以认为是risk premium的一部分

----------------------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

刘猛 · 2021年07月10日

老师,inflation 不是 nominal interest rate 的一部分吗,为什么会是在risk premium的一部分呢

  • 3

    回答
  • 0

    关注
  • 518

    浏览
相关问题

NO.PZ2018091706000061问题如下 Assumeththe country hwhis consirea low-yielsafe haven currenwhilethe EM country ha high-yielcurrenwhose value is more exposetofluctuations in the globeconomic growth rate. All else equal, the exchangerate for the EM currenwill most likely preciate if the: A.long-run equilibriumvalue of the high-yielcurrenis reviseupwarB.nominyielspreaetween the EM an countries increases over time C.expecteinflationfferentibetween the EM an countries is reviseupwarAllelse equal, increase in the expecteinflation fferentishoulletopreciation of the EM currency.解析reexchange rate (A/= equilibriumreexchange rate + (realinterest rate B - reinterest rate A)- (risk premium B - risk premium A)根据上述公式。所以A、B错误。在其它条件相同的情况下,预期通胀率的扩大会加两国的风险溢价之差,从而应会导致新兴市场货币贬值。所以C正确。请问B为什么错?

2024-05-17 02:51 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2018091706000061问题如下 Assumeththe country hwhis consirea low-yielsafe haven currenwhilethe EM country ha high-yielcurrenwhose value is more exposetofluctuations in the globeconomic growth rate. All else equal, the exchangerate for the EM currenwill most likely preciate if the: A.long-run equilibriumvalue of the high-yielcurrenis reviseupwarB.nominyielspreaetween the EM an countries increases over time C.expecteinflationfferentibetween the EM an countries is reviseupwarAllelse equal, increase in the expecteinflation fferentishoulletopreciation of the EM currency.解析reexchange rate (A/= equilibriumreexchange rate + (realinterest rate B - reinterest rate A)- (risk premium B - risk premium A)根据上述公式。所以A、B错误。在其它条件相同的情况下,预期通胀率的扩大会加两国的风险溢价之差,从而应会导致新兴市场货币贬值。所以C正确。如图所示,老师帮忙看看是不是这样理解

2024-03-06 23:13 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2018091706000061问题如下 Assumeththe country hwhis consirea low-yielsafe haven currenwhilethe EM country ha high-yielcurrenwhose value is more exposetofluctuations in the globeconomic growth rate. All else equal, the exchangerate for the EM currenwill most likely preciate if the: A.long-run equilibriumvalue of the high-yielcurrenis reviseupwarB.nominyielspreaetween the EM an countries increases over time C.expecteinflationfferentibetween the EM an countries is reviseupwarAllelse equal, increase in the expecteinflation fferentishoulletopreciation of the EM currency.解析reexchange rate (A/= equilibriumreexchange rate + (realinterest rate B - reinterest rate A)- (risk premium B - risk premium A)根据上述公式。所以A、B错误。在其它条件相同的情况下,预期通胀率的扩大会加两国的风险溢价之差,从而应会导致新兴市场货币贬值。所以C正确。b为什么不对 名义利率差距增大说明通胀率差距增大因为根据fisher的公式实际利率是相同的。那么b和c不是一个意思吗?

2024-01-15 18:44 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2018091706000061 问题如下 Assumeththe country hwhis consirea low-yielsafe haven currenwhilethe EM country ha high-yielcurrenwhose value is more exposetofluctuations in the globeconomic growth rate. All else equal, the exchangerate for the EM currenwill most likely preciate if the: A.long-run equilibriumvalue of the high-yielcurrenis reviseupwar B.nominyielspreaetween the EM an countries increases over time C.expecteinflationfferentibetween the EM an countries is reviseupwar Allelse equal, increase in the expecteinflation fferentishoulletopreciation of the EM currency.解析reexchange rate (A/= equilibriumreexchange rate + (realinterest rate B - reinterest rate A)- (risk premium B - risk premium A)根据上述公式。所以A、B错误。在其它条件相同的情况下,预期通胀率的扩大会加两国的风险溢价之差,从而应会导致新兴市场货币贬值。所以C正确。 如题

2023-12-11 16:40 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2018091706000061 问题如下 Assumeththe country hwhis consirea low-yielsafe haven currenwhilethe EM country ha high-yielcurrenwhose value is more exposetofluctuations in the globeconomic growth rate. All else equal, the exchangerate for the EM currenwill most likely preciate if the: A.long-run equilibriumvalue of the high-yielcurrenis reviseupwar B.nominyielspreaetween the EM an countries increases over time C.expecteinflationfferentibetween the EM an countries is reviseupwar Allelse equal, increase in the expecteinflation fferentishoulletopreciation of the EM currency.解析reexchange rate (A/= equilibriumreexchange rate + (realinterest rate B - reinterest rate A)- (risk premium B - risk premium A)根据上述公式。所以A、B错误。在其它条件相同的情况下,预期通胀率的扩大会加两国的风险溢价之差,从而应会导致新兴市场货币贬值。所以C正确。 请老师指教

2023-11-26 14:40 1 · 回答