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金融民工阿聪 · 2021年04月28日

A的话,我记得不是说一个模型好坏,不可以用已知问题来test嘛

NO.PZ2019052001000137

问题如下:

Even though risk managers cannot eliminate model risk, there are many ways managers can protect themselves against model risk. Which of the following statement about managing model risk is correct?

选项:

A.

Models should be test against known problems.

B.

It is not advisable to estimate model risk using simulations.

C.

Complex models are generally preferable to simple models.

D.

Small discrepancies in model outputs are always acceptable.

解释:

One way to protect against model risk is to test a model against known problems. It is always a good idea to check a model against simple problems to which one already knows the answer, and many problems can be distilled to simple special cases that have known answers. If the model fails to give the correct answer to a problem whose solution is already known, then this indicates that there is something wrong with it.

A的话,我记得不是说一个模型好坏,不可以用已知问题来test嘛?因为你这个模型本来就是已知问题作为输入量建立出来的,用已知去测试那肯定是只会得出高度拟合的结论啊?

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袁园_品职助教 · 2021年04月29日

同学你好!

我感觉这里并不一定是说要用建模的那个数据去test,只是说用已知结果的数据放进去,这样我们才能拿模型输出的结果和真实的结果去对比

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