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胡馨梦 · 2021年03月04日

图看不懂

NO.PZ2017092702000044

问题如下:

The following is a frequency polygon of monthly exchange rate changes in the US dollar/Japanese yen spot exchange rate from January 2010 to December 2013. A positive change represents yen appreciation (the yen buys more dollars), and a negative change represents yen depreciation (the yen buys fewer dollars)

Based on the chart, yen appreciation:

选项:

A.

occurred more than 50% of the time.

B.

was less frequent than yen depreciation.

C.

in the 0.0 to 2.0 interval occurred 20% of the time.

解释:

A is correct.

Twenty observations lie in the interval "0.0 to 2.0," and six observations lie in the 2.0 to 4.0 interval. Together, they represent 26/48, or 54.17% of all observations, which is more than 50%.

这道题 图还是看不懂 要估计着数字么 感觉数字对不大上 横轴纵zhou不太懂什么意思
1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2021年03月05日

同学你好,

本题图表纵轴是发生的频次(Frequency)。横轴是return区间的中位数。比如最右的横坐标是3.0%,就说明对应的区间是2%-4%的。同理,1.0%的横坐标对应的区间是0%-2%。

题干中说明positive change代表日元升值。positive change就是return大于0%的情况,即右边的两段。对应着从0%到4%。其中1.0%的那段对应纵轴频率是20,即发生了20次;3%那段对应的频率是6。所以positive change(日元升值)发生次数是20+6=26次。

同样的思路可以得到negative change(日元贬值)发生次数是22次。也可以通过January 2010到December 2013一共是48个月(一共发生了48次)来得出negative change的发生次数是48-26=22次。

由此可知,日元升值的次数占总次数的比例为26/48=54.17%,超过了50%,A选项描述正确。

同时,日元的升值次数(26次)>日元贬值次数(22次),B选项描述错误。“0.0 to 2.0 interval”对应的frequency是20次,但占比是20/48=41.67%。C选项错误。