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哈哈_cfa · 2021年03月02日

这种题型觉得做事很好理解

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ201709270100000301

问题如下:

1. Based on Exhibit 1 and given Varden’s expectations, which is the best null hypothesis and conclusion regarding CEO tenure?

选项:

A.

b2≤ 0; reject the null hypothesis

B.

b2 = 0; cannot reject the null hypothesis

C.

b2 ≥ 0; reject the null hypothesis

解释:

A is correct. Varden expects to find that CEO tenure is positively related to the firm’s ROE. If he is correct, the regression coefficient for tenure, b2, will be greater than zero (b2 > 0) and statistically significant. The null hypothesis supposes that the "suspected" condition is not true, so the null hypothesis should state the variable is less than or equal to zero. The t-statistic for tenure is 2.308, significant at the 0.027 level, meeting Varden’s 0.05 significance requirement. Varden should reject the null hypothesis.

这种题型在做的时候是要配合上下文的阐述么 觉得每次都有点带着蒙的成分 有没有好的办法理清思路

1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2021年03月03日

同学你好,

“建立原假设”这种题型的解题原则是:把“相信的”放在备择假设,把“想要拒绝的”放在原假设。

题目问“given Varden’s expectations, which is the best null hypothesis and conclusion regarding CEO tenure”

所以到题干中去寻找Varden对于CEO tenure的expectation是什么,可知“.... CEO tenure is positively related to ROE”。即Varden相信的(expect)的是CEO tenure这个自变量对于因变量ROE的影响为正,转化一下就是他相信b2>0.

所以可得Ha:b2>0.继而得到H0:b2≤0。此刻可以直接选出A选项。

---------------

建立原假设题型在二级考察的非常少,而且普遍比较简单。掌握以上原则即可。

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