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@_@ · 2021年02月10日

老师,请问这道题的考点是什么?

NO.PZ2016010802000109

问题如下:

Following a sharp increase in the price of energy, the overall price level is most likely to rise in the short run:

选项:

A.

and remain elevated indefinitely unless the central bank tightens.

B.

but be unchanged in the long run unless the money supply is increased.

C.

and continue to rise until all prices have increased by the same proportion.

解释:

B is correct.

An increase in energy prices will shift the short-run aggregate supply curve (SRAS) to the left, reducing output and increasing prices.

If there is no change in the aggregate demand curve, in particular if the central bank does not expand the money supply, slack in the economy will put downward pressure on in input prices, shifting the SRAS back to its original position. In the long run, the price level will be unchanged.

考点:AS曲线

解析:能源价格的攀升会造成总供给的衰退,总供给的衰退在长期会引起原材料价格的下降,从而使得总供给回到初始水平。这期间,如果该国央行不实施干预,那么总需求就不会发生改变。

总供给和总需求在长期都未改变的结果就是物价水平保持不变。

能源价格上涨,AS曲线应该向左平移,物价水平不是应该上涨吗?

2 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2022年02月21日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


能源价格上涨,AS曲线应该向左平移,物价水平不是应该上涨吗?

是的,AS曲线左移,物价应该上涨。但是这只是短期的。因为能源价格因为突然的供应削减而上涨,日后供应增加了,能源价格还是会跌回来的。所以长期来看,能源价格和物价,并不会由于短期的供应减少而上涨,长期并不会有影响。


未来价格预期就才会影响长期的AS曲线? 未来的价格预期只影响短期的AS曲线啊,并不影响长期AS曲线。

这里还是要分情况来讨论。

如果未来的价格预期,这个预期只是短期的,比如,因为原油价格之前比较低,原油厂商利润微薄,最近几年能源投资比较少,产能较少,那么这种短期预期,只会影响短期AS曲线,并不影响长期的AS曲线。因为一旦石油价格上升,利润恢复,供应就会出来,让石油价格跌回正常水准。

如果未来的价格预期,持续时间会非常长,比如说,全球国家开始对碳中和进行竞争,减碳低碳成为未来几十年的发展目标,各国纷纷投资清洁能源,致力于用清洁能源,来替代化石能源,那么就会导致相当长的一段时间,石油投资低迷并且无法恢复,但是清洁能源又不能弥补化石能源的短期,导致石油价格居高不下,同时石油价格也带动物价水平居高不下,供应曲线在长期左移。


但是就本题的B选项而言,讨论的是长期价格水平,并不涉及到什么因素会影响到长期AS曲线。

短期的供应短期,并不会影响长期价格水平。货币供应量大,会影响到价格水平。

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

丹丹_品职答疑助手 · 2021年02月12日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


同学你好,本题考查的是影响AS曲线的因素。

A change in the price level itself will not cause a shift in the AD and AS curves, but expected future price changes will cause  a shift in AD and AS curves.

根据题干,一个突然的价格变动会使得短期的供给曲线向左移动,但不会影响长期的价格曲线, 因为未来价格预期就才会影响长期的AS曲线。

 


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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!


摇一摇 · 2022年02月20日

未来价格预期就才会影响长期的AS曲线? 未来的价格预期只影响短期的AS曲线啊,并不影响长期AS曲线。

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