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杨木木 · 2021年02月06日

答案里为什么可以假设price没变,直接用merge之前的price = 40?

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NO.PZ201601200500004503

问题如下:

3. Are Wilhelm’s two statements about his shareholders benefiting from the diversification effect of the merger and about the increase in the stock price, respectively, correct?

选项:

The Merger Will Result in Lower Risk for Shareholders
Stock Price Will Increase in Line with the EPS Increase
A.
No
No
B.
No
Yes
C.
Yes
No

解释:

A is correct.

Both of the statements by Wilhelm are wrong.

The first statement is wrong because diversification by itself does not lower risk for shareholders. Investors can diversify very cheaply on their own by purchasing stocks of different companies (for example, a Modern Auto shareholder could purchase stocks of Sky Systems).

The second statement is also wrong. The P/E ratio will not necessarily remain the same following the merger and is more likely to decline. The pre-merger P/E for Modern Auto is 40/2.50 = 16. After the merger, the EPS would be $130 million/49.375 million shares, or 2.6329. The post-merger P/E will probably fall to 40/2.6329 = 15.19.

答案最后一句:The post-merger P/E will probably fall to 40/2.6329 = 15.19.

请问,虽然是要对比merge之前之后的P/E,以否定他原文中说P/E不变,但答案里为什么可以假设merge前后price没变,直接用merge之前的price = 40,来求post-merge P/E?Merge这种重大事件不都会影响股价吗?

1 个答案
已采纳答案

王琛_品职助教 · 2021年02月06日

- 亲好,这道题是参考的原版书的例题 P204 的例题 3,在例题结束的第一段第一句,提到了:如果市场有效,合并后的 PE 为两家公司的加权 PE,根据各自对盈余的贡献计算,假设了 acquirer 的股价是不变的
- 以这道题为例,被收购方的合并前的 PE 为:25/(30/15) = 12.5,所以根据盈余占比贡献计算加权的,合并后 PE 为:12.5+(16-12.5)x100/(100+30) = 15.19
- 合并后股份数为:40+25x15/40=49.375
- 合并后股价为:15.19x(130/49.375) 约等于 40
- 我认为这里了解一下即可,不用太纠结哈

杨木木 · 2021年02月07日

好的,谢谢伯努利先生 O(∩_∩)O

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请问老师第一个statement说分散化降低风险,为什么是错的呢,versification就是可以通过分散化降低风险。这里并未要求和股东自行购买股票的versification效果做比较,只是判断降低风险这个说法,请问为什么就不对呢?是课件中哪个知识点吗?麻烦指点下,谢谢

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2020-09-11 15:35 1 · 回答

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2020-08-21 15:57 1 · 回答

No Yes Yes No A is correct. Both of the statements Wilhelm are wrong. The first statement is wrong because versification itself es not lower risk for shareholrs. Investors cversify very cheaply on their own purchasing stocks of fferent companies (for example, a Morn Auto shareholr coulpurchase stocks of Sky Systems). The seconstatement is also wrong. The P/E ratio will not necessarily remain the same following the merger anis more likely to cline. The pre-merger P/E for Morn Auto is 40/2.50 = 16. After the merger, the EPS woul$130 million/49.375 million shares, or 2.6329. The post-merger P/E will probably fall to 40/2.6329 = 15.19. 第二个判断,EPS的变动能理解,但P的变动如何判断?感觉答案给的很牵强

2020-05-18 22:03 1 · 回答