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临江仙 · 2021年02月01日

为什么相关性下降

NO.PZ2020033001000033

问题如下:

In May of 2005, General Motors and Ford was downgraded to junk status, the following situation led to huge losses for multiple hedge funds. Which of the following positions are most likely to be held by these funds and ultimately lead to their losses?

选项:

A.

Long the equity tranche of the CDS and short the mezzanine tranche of the CDS, when the correlations of the assets in the CDO decreased.

B.

Long the equity tranche of the CDS and short the mezzanine tranche of the CDS, when the correlations of the assets in the CDO increased.

C.

Short the equity tranche of the CDS and long the mezzanine tranche of the CDS, when the correlations of the assets in the CDO decreased.

D.

Short the equity tranche of the CDS and long the mezzanine tranche of the CDS, when the correlations of the assets in the CDO increased.

解释:

C is correct.

考点:2005年的correlation-related crisis

解析:降级为垃圾级通常会导致债券价格急剧下跌,因为许多共同基金和养老基金不允许持有垃圾债券,CDO中引用投资级债券的债券的相关性下降,因为不同信用质量的债券的相关性通常较低。这导致对冲基金蒙受巨大损失,因为他们的策略是short equity的CDS的同时long mezzanine的CDS,相关性下降时这策略两端都受损。

在这种情况 不是危机开始吗?

如果开始的话,就应该相关系数上升啊。

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已采纳答案

小刘_品职助教 · 2021年02月02日

同学你好,

这里指的是CDO的这些资产的相关性下降,在危机刚开始的时候,垃圾债券被人抛售,价格越来越低,但投资级的债券价格是变好的,所以相关系数下降。

小刘_品职助教 · 2021年02月10日

同学你好,

我重新看了一下视频,我们两说的好像是一个地方😅确实两个都是cds

之所以 long the mezzanine tranche of the CDS是亏损的,是因为从实际数据运行结果来看,mezzanie的spread是下降的,所以long头寸也出现了亏损。

小刘_品职助教 · 2021年02月02日

同学你好,

不知道你是在哪个视频看到李老师讲的,那可能是口误了~~方便的话麻烦你提供一下,核实之后可能要勘误了~

你可以听一下 Correlation And Financial Crisis Of 2007 To 2009 这个基础班视频1.5倍速6分20秒左右,老师讲了应该两个都是CDS~

临江仙 · 2021年02月09日

2倍速大约4分5秒左右,老师说的是short_equity_tranche,然后long_mazzanine_tranche 因为前面讲过由于equity_tranche违约概率大增,这里是short_equity_tranche的CDS,但是mazzanine_tranche没有说哦。 所以一直以为是long_mazzanine_tranche,而且由于mazzanine_tranche开始下降,我理解,long才会导致损失。 请教老师这里应该都是CDS?如果都是的话,那么long_mazzanine_tranche的CDS,应该不会有损失吧。

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