问题如下:
Jack has collected a large data set of daily market returns for three emerging markets and he want to compute the VaR. He is concerned about the non-normal skew in the data and is considering non-parametric estimation methods. Which of the following statements about Age-weighted historical simulation approach is most accurate?
选项:
A.The age-weighted procedure incorporate estimates from GARCH model.
B.If the decay factor in the model is close to 1, there is persistence within the data set.
C. When using this approach, the weight
assigned on day i is equal to
The number of observation should at least exceed 250.
解释:
B is correct.
考点Age-weighted historical simulation
解析If the intensity parameter (i.e., decay factor) is close to 1, there will be persistence (i.e., slow decay) in the estimate. The expression for the weight on day ihasiin the exponent when it should be n. While a large sample size is generally preferred, some of the data may no longer be representative in a large sample.
is close to 1, there will be persistence 这句话是什么意思呢。A和D为什么错呢