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金融民工阿聪 · 2021年01月24日

is close to 1, there will be persistence 这句话是什么意思呢。A和D为什么错呢

问题如下:

Jack has collected a large data set of daily market returns for three emerging markets and he want to compute the VaR. He is concerned about the non-normal skew in the data and is considering non-parametric estimation methods. Which of the following statements about Age-weighted historical simulation approach is most accurate?

选项:

A.

The age-weighted procedure incorporate estimates from GARCH model.

B.

If the decay factor in the model is close to 1, there is persistence within the data set.

C.

When using this approach, the weight assigned on day i is equal to Wi=λi1(1λ)/(1λi)W_i=\lambda^{i-1}(1-\lambda)/(1-\lambda^i)

D.

The number of observation should at least exceed 250.

解释:

B is correct.

考点 Age-weighted historical simulation

解析 If the intensity parameter (i.e., decay factor) is close to 1, there will be persistence (i.e., slow decay) in the estimate. The expression for the weight on day ihasiin the exponent when it should be n. While a large sample size is generally preferred, some of the data may no longer be representative in a large sample.

is close to 1, there will be persistence 这句话是什么意思呢。A和D为什么错呢

1 个答案
已采纳答案

小刘_品职助教 · 2021年01月25日

同学你好,

1)如果衰减因子是1,就意味着不衰减,所以这个数据就是永久影响的;

2)A选项应该是EWMA;volatility -weighted 是GARCH;

3)D选项是个干扰项,没这个要求。

 

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