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金融民工阿聪 · 2021年01月23日

为什么ES比VaR难进行backtest

问题如下:

A large commercial bank is using VaR as its main risk measurement tool. Expected shortfall (ES) is suggested as a better alternative to use during market turmoil. What should be understood regarding VaR and ES before modifying current practices?

选项:

A.

Despite being more complicated to calculate, ES is easier to backtest than VaR.

B.

Relative to VaR, ES leads to more required economic capital for the same confidence level.

C.

While VaR ensures that the estimate of portfolio risk is less than or equal to the sum of the risks of that portfolio’s positions, ES does not.

D.

Both VaR and ES account for the severity of losses beyond the confidence threshold.

解释:

B is correct.

考点 Expected Shortfall

解析 Expected shortfall is always greater than or equal to VaR for a given confidence level, since ES accounts for the severity of expected losses beyond a particular confidence level, while VaR measures the minimum expected loss at that confidence level. Therefore, ES would lead to a higher level of required economic capital than VaR for the same confidence level. In practice, however, regulators often correct for the difference between ES and VaR by lowering the required confidence level for banks using ES compared to those using VaR.

为什么ES比VaR难进行backtest

3 个答案
已采纳答案

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2021年01月25日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


var的回测只需要检查损失数值是否大于var,然后计数就差不多了。

但是ES的话你要留意整体的每日收益率形成的分布,然后再在分布尾部求平均数来对比之前确定的ES。

所以,就像ES的计算比var复杂一样,回测也是会比var要复杂的。


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品职答疑小助手雍 · 2021年07月10日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


C描述的定义都是错的,对var的描述像是在说分散化效果的事情,组合风险小于风险单纯加和,只是在对比概念里换了几个词用来凑选项的。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

天王老子 · 2021年11月10日

C 是在说次可加性 ,很显然VAR不满足次可加性

奶油王子 · 2021年07月10日

為什麼不是C?

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