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hillock1122 · 2021年01月17日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018122701000069 [ FRM II ]

问题如下:

Model 1 has a no-drift assumption. Using this model, if the current short-term interest rate is 6%, annual volatility is 100bps, and dw is a normally distributed random variable with mean equals zero and standard deviation dt\sqrt{dt} of zero as its expected value. One month later, the realization of dw is -0.4. What is the change in the spot rate and the new spot rate?

选项:

Change in spot
New spot rate

A.

0.40%
-6.40%

B.

-0.40%
5.60%

C.

0.80%
6.80%

D.

-0.80%
5.20%

解释:

B is correct.

考点:Model I

解析:

dr = σ dw

dr = 1% x (-0.4) = -0.4% = -40 basis points

Since the initial rate was 6% and dr = -0.40%, the new spot rate in one month is:

6% - 0.40% = 5.60%

不需要调整波动率吗?年波动率除以根号下12,调成月波动率?

1 个答案

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2021年01月18日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


dw is a normally distributed random variable with mean equals zero and standard deviation 根号dt of zero as its expected value。也就是dw这个波动项已经包含了波动率的时间上的考量了,-0.4就是最后的结果。


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