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Rikki Wu · 2021年01月12日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018111501000012

问题如下:

In foreign exchange market, it is expected that the Indian rupee (INR) is depreciated relative to US dollar (USD), and the volatility of exchange rate is going to increase. To exploit the currency opportunity, the most appropriate trading strategy is to:

选项:

A.

short strangle.

B.

buy a put option on INR/USD

C.

long NDF position on INR/USD.

解释:

C is correct.

考点:currency management for emerging market currencies.

解析:Strangle是out-of-money call & put组成的。当volatility增加,应该long strangle而不是short,A错。INR相对于USD贬值,说明INR贬值,USD增值,因此应当buy a call option on INR/USD,B错。

NDF是non-deliverable forward的缩写,本质上是一种forward,是针对于新兴市场国家货币的一种特殊的远期合约。因为新兴市场国家往往会进行外汇管制,流通的货币量太少,难以实现实物交割,所以NDF采用了非实物交割的形式,也就是直接结算差价。由于INR贬值,USD增值,应该long INR/USD forward,所以C正确。

不选Strangle的原因是否包含,因为他没有说明是INR/USD还是USD/INR,如果是short strangle on USD/INR,是不是也对?

1 个答案

xiaowan_品职助教 · 2021年01月13日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


同学你好,

不是的,long strangle是在波动较大时盈利,short strangle是在波动较小时盈利,不论是USD/INR还是USD/INR,exchange rate的波动率都是上升的,所以short strangle不对。


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