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Potatowpn · 2020年12月11日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018122701000036

问题如下:

Based on Basel II rules for backtesting, a penalty is given to banks that have more than four exceptions to their 1-day 99%VaR over the course of 250 trading days. The supervisor gives these penalties based on four criteria. Which of the following causes of exceptions is most likely to lead to a penalty?

选项:

A.

The bank increases its intraday trading activity.

B.

A large move in interest rates was combined with a small move in correlations.

C.

The bank’s model calculates interest rate risk based on the median duration of the bonds in the portfolio.

D.

A sudden market crisis in an emerging market leads to losses in the equity positions in that country.

解释:

C is correct.

考点 Backtesting VaR

解析 In the case of a bank that changed positions more frequently during the day, a penalty should be considered, but it is not necessarily given. In the case of bad luck, no penalty is given, as would be the case for a bank affected by unpredictable movements in rates or markets. However, when risk models are not precise enough, a penalty is typically given since model accuracy could have easily been improved.

老师请问B选项为什么不对?

2 个答案

小刘_品职助教 · 2021年01月12日

同学你好,

相关性是考虑风险分散的意思,所以如果相关性低,对应的就是分散的程度不好,就会高估风险。

小刘_品职助教 · 2020年12月14日

同学你好,

按照选项B说的考虑利率很大的变化又考虑很少的相关性,会高估市场风险,相当于更保守的处理了,所以不会被处罚。

kayi · 2021年01月12日

考虑相关性高一起亏损不是才会高估风险吗?

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