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比夏 · 2020年11月19日

问一道题:NO.PZ201601050100000302

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

问题如下:

2. For Subscriber 2, and assuming all of the choices relate to the KRW/USD exchange rate, the best way to implement the trading strategy would be to:

选项:

A.

write a straddle.

B.

buy a put option.

C.

use a long NDF position.

解释:

C is correct.

Based on predicted export trends, Subscriber 2 most likely expects the KRW/USD rate to appreciate (i.e., the wonthe price currencyto depreciate relative to the USD). This would require a long forward position in a forward contract, but as a country with capital controls, a NDF would be used instead. (Note: While forward contracts offered by banks are generally an institutional product, not retail, the retail version of a non-deliverable forward contract is known as a -contract for differences- (CFD) and is available at several retail FX brokers.)

A is incorrect because Subscriber 2 expects the KRW/USD rate to appreciate. A short straddle position would be used when the direction of exchange rate movement is unknown and volatility is expected to remain low.

B is incorrect because a put option would profit from a depreciation of the KRW/USD rate, not an appreciation (as expected). Higher volatility would also make buying a put option more expensive.

请问,我理解做这道题应该不用判断货币的升贬值方向,只需要明白波动性变大就可以了;B和C都应该是对的因为都没有说明是针对哪种货币,但是相比之下用futures因为不需要抵押品、面对的对手方风险更小,所以选NDF futures。是这样对吗?

1 个答案

xiaowan_品职助教 · 2020年11月20日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


同学你好,

这道题本身确实没有明确说明put的汇率计价方式,但其实是出题时不严谨,它只在题干中是有提到标价方式是KRW/USD,我们看解析,出题的本意也是在考KRW/USD的put,所以咱们考试里遇到这类题目还是要分析一下汇率的变化方向哈。


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