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sjtu_wangkai · 2020年11月13日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018091706000061

问题如下:

Assume that the DM country has what is considered a low-yield safe haven currency while the EM country has a high-yield currency whose value is more exposed to fluctuations in the global economic growth rate. All else equal, the exchange rate for the EM currency will most likely depreciate if the:


选项:

A.

long-run equilibrium value of the high-yield currency is revised upward 

B.

nominal yield spread between the EM and DM countries increases over time 

C.

expected inflation differential between the EM and DM countries is revised upward 

解释:

All else equal, an increase in the expected inflation differential should lead to depreciation of the EM currency.

解析:

real exchange rate (A/B) = equilibrium real exchange rate + (real interest rate B - real interest rate A)- (risk premium B - risk premium A)

根据上述公式。所以AB选项错误。

在其它条件相同的情况下,预期通胀率的扩大会加两国的风险溢价之差,从而应会导致新兴市场货币贬值。所以C选项正确。


由于名义利率i=实际利率r+通胀π,

则B项,名义利率变大,对汇率影响实际上是不确定的,对吗?

因为可能是r变大,导致汇率升高,也可能是π变大,风险溢价上升,导致汇率下降。

1 个答案
已采纳答案

丹丹_品职答疑助手 · 2020年11月14日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


同学你好,你的理解是对的


-------------------------------
就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!


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