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Alex · 2017年12月08日

问一道题:NO.PZ201710200100000408 第8小题 [ CFA II ]

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

问题如下图:

    

选项:

A.

B.

C.

解释:


这道题最后给的条件很奇怪啊,

1、第四年开始ROE恢复到12%

2、第四年开始终值基于假设:第三年的RI一直持续下去

开始,我用12%的ROE-r再乘以BV求出RI,结果最后发现没有这个答案。

之后我用第三年的RI/r,求出了终值,然后折现发现算对了。

但是这样和12%的ROE还有什么关系啊,难道是陷阱?

1 个答案
已采纳答案

maggie_品职助教 · 2017年12月09日

这道题说的很清楚:第三年开始就是constant直到永远,说明RI3=RI4=RI5.......并不需要再计算RI4.....
The terminal value is based on an assumption that residual income per share will be constant from Year 3 into perpetuity.

题目说roe 从第四年开始降到行业平均12%,就是告诉你RI高速增长阶段到第三年就停止了。并不需要你计算。

你还是题目理解的问题,建议你多听听课吧。


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NO.PZ201710200100000408问题如下8. Baseon Exhibits 2 an3 anthe multistage RI mol, Castovshoulestimate the intrinsic value of TTto closest to:A.€54.88.B.€83.01.C.€85.71. C is correct.Resiincome per share for the next three years is calculatefollows.Because Castovforecasts thresiincome per share will constant into perpetuity, equto Ye3 resiincome per share, the present value of the terminvalue is calculateusing a persistenfactor of 1.Present value of terminvalue = 8.54−(0.087×58.25)(1+0.087−1)(1+0.087)2\frac{8.54-(0.087\times58.25)}{(1+0.087-1)(1+0.087)^2}(1+0.087−1)(1+0.087)28.54−(0.087×58.25)​= 3.47(0.087)(1.087)2\frac{3.47}{ ( 0.087 ) ( 1.087 ) ^2}(0.087)(1.087)23.47​ =33.78 So, the intrinsic value of TTis then calculatefollows.V0=\frac{45.25+3.88/1.087+3.68/(1.087)^2+33.78}=85.71 没搞明白为什么单阶段模型里的PVRI可以用(ROE-r)*B0/(r-g)来计算,这道题多阶段模型的后面说了ROE=12%不变,r=8.7%不变,g也不变,为什么就不能用前面这个公式呢?

2024-10-01 20:35 1 · 回答

NO.PZ201710200100000408问题如下8. Baseon Exhibits 2 an3 anthe multistage RI mol, Castovshoulestimate the intrinsic value of TTto closest to:A.€54.88.B.€83.01.C.€85.71. C is correct.Resiincome per share for the next three years is calculatefollows.Because Castovforecasts thresiincome per share will constant into perpetuity, equto Ye3 resiincome per share, the present value of the terminvalue is calculateusing a persistenfactor of 1.Present value of terminvalue = 8.54−(0.087×58.25)(1+0.087−1)(1+0.087)2\frac{8.54-(0.087\times58.25)}{(1+0.087-1)(1+0.087)^2}(1+0.087−1)(1+0.087)28.54−(0.087×58.25)​= 3.47(0.087)(1.087)2\frac{3.47}{ ( 0.087 ) ( 1.087 ) ^2}(0.087)(1.087)23.47​ =33.78 So, the intrinsic value of TTis then calculatefollows.V0=\frac{45.25+3.88/1.087+3.68/(1.087)^2+33.78}=85.71 如题,为什么这里是1,其他题没给的话怎么算

2024-09-29 11:30 1 · 回答

NO.PZ201710200100000408 问题如下 8. Baseon Exhibits 2 an3 anthe multistage RI mol, Castovshoulestimate the intrinsic value of TTto closest to: A.€54.88. B.€83.01. C.€85.71. C is correct.Resiincome per share for the next three years is calculatefollows.Because Castovforecasts thresiincome per share will constant into perpetuity, equto Ye3 resiincome per share, the present value of the terminvalue is calculateusing a persistenfactor of 1.Present value of terminvalue = 8.54−(0.087×58.25)(1+0.087−1)(1+0.087)2\frac{8.54-(0.087\times58.25)}{(1+0.087-1)(1+0.087)^2}(1+0.087−1)(1+0.087)28.54−(0.087×58.25)​= 3.47(0.087)(1.087)2\frac{3.47}{ ( 0.087 ) ( 1.087 ) ^2}(0.087)(1.087)23.47​ =33.78 So, the intrinsic value of TTis then calculatefollows.V0=\frac{45.25+3.88/1.087+3.68/(1.087)^2+33.78}=85.71 如题,谢谢!

2024-08-20 08:56 2 · 回答

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2024-07-12 11:41 1 · 回答

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2024-04-08 23:50 1 · 回答