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和棋 · 2020年10月25日

问一道题:NO.PZ2019052001000138

问题如下:

The risk management group estimates the 1-day 99% VaR on a long-only, large-cap equity portfolio using a variety of approaches. A daily risk report shows the following information:

1-day 99% VaR Estimates (by approach):

   Delta-Normal VaR: USD 441,940

   Monte Carlo Simulation VaR: USD 473,906

   Historical Simulation VaR: 495,584

Which of the following is the most likely explanation for the variation in VaR estimates?

选项:

A.

Data problems

B.

Differences in model assumptions

C.

Endogenous model risk

D.

Programming errors

解释:

Explanation: VaR measures will vary according to the approach (delta-normal, historical simulation, Monte Carlo simulation). The variation in these values does not suggest bigger problems with data or programming/implementation nor is there any reason to suspect endogenous model risk (e.g., traders gaming the system to lower risk values).

能不能举个例子什么是内生性的模型风险?

1 个答案

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2020年10月26日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


操作风险里本身没有提及这个概念,所以也不会去考。

只能从字面看像是在说,模型本身带着某种不太对的假设导致模型结果有偏差之类的。


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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!