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徐威廉 · 2020年10月12日

问一道题:NO.PZ2019010402000001

问题如下:

A trader is looking for an arbitrage opportunity relating to a bond futures based on following information:

  • Ÿ Quoted futures price=103
  • Ÿ Conversion factor=1.02
  • Ÿ One month remaining to expiration, no coupon during this period
  • Ÿ Quoted bond price=108
  • Ÿ AI0=0.1
  • Ÿ AIT=0.15
  • Ÿ Annual compounded risk-free rate=0.2%

The arbitrage profit is closest to:

选项:

A.

0.8965

B.

2.9075

C.

1.3253

解释:

B is correct.

考点:fixed-income futures定价

解析:

No-arbitrage futures price:

F0(T) =(108+0.1) (1 + 0.002)1/12-0.15=107.968

市场中的futures price=quoted futures price * CF=103*1.02=105.06

arbitrage profit应该是两个futures price之差的现值

所以arbitrage profit= (107.968105.06)(1+0.2%)1/12=2.9075\frac{(107.968-105.06)}{{(1+0.2\%)}^{1/12}}=2.9075

求No-arbitrage futures price画图:(该题合约期间没有coupon,所以PVC=0)

该提出的不严谨吧,题目中已知条件只说了合同还有1个月到期,但是没有说合同总长是多少(即T是多少),所以无法求得合理F0(T)啊,看助教画的图把T等于1/12更是不明白

1 个答案

xiaowan_品职助教 · 2020年10月12日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


同学你好,

T代表0时刻开始距离到期日的时长,现在就是0时刻,所以T就是1一个月,1/12年。


-------------------------------
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