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Lisa Li · 2020年10月02日

问一道题:NO.PZ201902210100000101 第1小题 [ CFA III ]

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

问题如下:

Which of Winslow’s statements about carry trades is correct?

选项:

A.

Statement I

B.

Statement II

C.

Statement III

解释:

A is correct.

Carry trades may or may not involve maturity mis-matches. Intra-market carry trades typically do involve different maturities, but inter-market carry trades frequently do not, especially if the currency is not hedged.

B is incorrect. Carry trades may involve only one yield curve, as is the case for intra-market trades. In addition, if two curves are involved they need not have different slopes provided there is a difference in the level of yields between markets.

C is incorrect. Inter-market carry trades do not, in general, break even if each yield curve goes to its forward rates. Intra-market trades will break even if the curve goes to the forward rates because, by construction of the forward rates, all points on the curve will earn the "first-period" rate (that is, the rate for the holding period being considered). Inter-market trades need not break even unless the "first-period" rate is the same in the two markets. If the currency exposure is not hedged, then breaking even also requires that there be no change in the currency exchange rate.

為什麼C選項不對呢?Inter-market carry trade不是才會受到匯率跟forward rate的影響嗎?為什麼反而改成infra market就對了呢?

1 个答案

WallE_品职答疑助手 · 2020年10月03日

同学您好,

就是说inter market carry trade 可以确保获得收益的条件最好还要加一条汇率的变动不怎么变,不然你的利差收益会被汇率的贬值给抹平。所以光只说toward forward rate是不能break even的,还需加上汇率不变的条件。

而intra market 没有涉及到多个国家,因此才不涉及汇率问题。

Lisa Li · 2020年10月04日

請問我這樣理解是否正確。 如果改成以下句子: inter-market Carey trade will break even if the yield curve moves to forward rate. 因為根據covered interest rate F/S0=Ra-Rb 所以利差完全被covered interest rate所隱含的匯率所吃掉,但是intra market carry trade usually do not break even 因為它不涉及FX問題?