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HG · 2020年09月12日

问一道题:NO.PZ201512181000007107

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

问题如下:

When measuring the portfolio impact of the stress test suggested by McKee, which of the following is most likely to produce an accurate result?

选项:

A.

Marginal VaR

B.

Full revaluation of securities

C.

The use of sensitivity risk measures

解释:

B is correct. McKee suggests running a stress test using a historical scenario specific to emerging markets that includes an extreme change in credit spreads. Stress tests, which apply extreme negative stress to a particular portfolio exposure, are closely related to scenario risk measures. A scenario risk measure estimates the portfolio return that would result from a hypothetical change in markets (hypothetical scenario) or a repeat of a historical event (historical scenario). When the historical simulation fully revalues securities under rate and price changes that occurred during the scenario period, the results should be highly accurate.

A is incorrect because marginal VaR measures the change in portfolio VaR given a very small change in a portfolio position (e.g., change in VaR for a $1 or 1% change in the position). Therefore, marginal VaR would not allow McKee to estimate how much the value of the option-embedded bonds would change under an extreme change in credit spreads.

C is incorrect because sensitivity risk measures use sensitivity exposure measures, such as first-order (delta, duration) and second-order (gamma, convexity) sensitivity, to assess the change in the value of a financial instrument. Although gamma and convexity can be used with delta and duration to estimate the impact of extreme market movements, they are not suited for scenario analysis related to option-embedded bonds.

 老师题中有一句话“encompassed an extreme change in credit spreads”,这不是再说只有一个risk factor在改变吗?那为啥不是sensitivity risk measure啊?

1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2020年09月14日

同学你好,

sensitivity risk measure衡量的是risk factor的小幅变化,也就是用一二阶导数来做衡量。并不适用于题干中描述的情况。

衡量极端情况的是scenario analysis中的stress test