问题如下：
A risk manager uses the past 480 months of correlation data from the Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow) to estimate the long-run mean correlation of common stocks and the mean reversion rate. Based on this historical data, the long-run mean correlation of Dow stocks was 34%, and the regression output estimates the following regression relationship: Y = 0.262 - 0.77X. Suppose that in April 2014, the average monthly correlation for all Dow stocks was 33%. What is the estimated one-period autocorrelation for this time period based on the mean reversion rate estimated in the regression analysis?
选项：
A.23%.
B.26%.
C.30%.
D.33%
解释：
The autocorrelation for a one-period lag is 23% for the same sample. The sum of the mean reversion rate (77% given the beta coefficient of-0.77) and the one-period autocorrelation rate will always equal 100%.
A risk manager uses the past 480 months of correlation data from the Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow) to estimate the long-run mean correlation of common stocks and the mean reversion rate. Based on this historical data, the long-run mean correlation of Dow stocks was 34%, and the regression output estimates the following regression relationship: Y = 0.262 - 0.77X. Suppose that in April 2014, the average monthly correlation for all Dow stocks was 33%. What is the estimated one-period autocorrelation for this time period based on the mean reversion rate estimated in the regression analysis?
老师题目是说用480个月的道琼斯的correlation data 计算 long-run mean correlation 和 mean reversion rate。得到长期均值是34%，和回归方程Y = 0.262 - 0.77X。X,和Y 是什么指什么啊。
