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徐威廉 · 2020年08月08日

问一道题:NO.PZ201712110200000306 第6小题 [ CFA II ]

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

问题如下:

If the Brown and Company forecast comes true, which of the following is most likely to occur? The value of the embedded option in:

选项:

A.

Bond 3 decreases.

B.

Bond 4 decreases.

C.

both Bond 3 and Bond 4 increases.

解释:

A is correct.

All else being equal, the value of a put option decreases as the yield curve moves from being upward sloping to flat to downward sloping (inverted). Alternatively, a call option’s value increases as the yield curve flattens and increases further if the yield curve inverts. Therefore, if the yield curve became inverted, the value of the embedded option in Bond 3 (putable) would decrease and the value of the embedded option in Bond 4 (Callable) would increase.

题目中说到的是brown和公司预测yield curve将会inverted,代表短期利率上升,长期利率下降!那么我们的option value应该根据短期还是长期来估计呢?
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已采纳答案

WallE_品职答疑助手 · 2020年08月08日

同学你好,

一般收益率曲线变动,长短期我们都会看,特别是涉及到计算的时候,

但是从定性的角度来看,长期的收益率下降或上升影响的要大于短期,因为根据Modified duration的公式,债券价格的变动=Duration*利率的变动,长期的duration自然就高一些,所以对债券价格影响更大。

徐威廉 · 2020年08月15日

就是在计算的时候,收益率曲线invert定性判断就看长期,代表利率下降,是吧?

WallE_品职答疑助手 · 2020年08月17日

长短期都要看的,长期影响大,除非题目里面短期变动真的特别特别的大,所以短期也还要留意一下

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