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daiwin18 · 2020年08月06日

问一道题:NO.PZ2015121810000032

问题如下:

The difference between the yield on a zero-coupon, default-free nominal bond and the yield on a zero-coupon, default-free real bond of the same maturity reflects:

选项:

A.

investors’ expectations about future inflation only.

B.

a premium for the uncertainty of future inflation only.

C.

both, investors’ expectations about future inflation and a premium for the uncertainty of future inflation.

解释:

C is correct.

The difference between the yield on a zero-coupon, default-free nominal bond and the yield on a zero-coupon, default-free real bond of the same maturity is known as the break-even inflation rate. This break-even inflation rate will incorporate the inflation expectations of investors over the investment horizon of the two bonds, plus a risk premium to compensate investors for uncertainty about future inflation. Breakeven inflation rates are not simply the markets’ best estimate of future inflation over the relevant investment horizon, as break-even inflation rates also include a risk premium to compensate investors for their uncertainty about future inflation.

考点:break-even inflation rate

解析:对于长期无风险零息债券而言,其名义利率包括实际利率、预期通货膨胀以及对非预期的通货膨胀的补偿;而实际无风险债券的收益率就是实际利率。二者的差就是预期通货膨胀和对非预期的通货膨胀的补偿两部分,这两部分之和即break-even inflation rate.

如果是短期债券的话,就不应该考虑uncertain的部分了吧?

只有长期债券的,才考虑uncertain和expected

1 个答案

丹丹_品职答疑助手 · 2020年08月07日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


同学,一般我们认为短期市场的波动比较肖,所以长期债券不确定性高一点,投资者需要premium


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