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徐威廉 · 2020年06月12日

问一道题:NO.PZ201709270100000503 第3小题 [ CFA II ]

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

问题如下:

3.Based on the regression results in Exhibit 1, the original time series of exchange rates:

选项:

A.

has a unit root.

B.

exhibits stationarity.

C.

can be modeled using linear regression.

解释:

A is correct. If the exchange rate series is a random walk, then the first-differenced series will yield b0 = 0 and b1 = 0, and the error terms will not be serially correlated. The data in Exhibit 1 show that this is the case: Neither the intercept nor the coefficient on the first lag of the first-differenced exchange rate in Regression 2 differs significantly from zero because the t-statistics of both coefficients are less than the critical t-statistic of 1.98. Also, the residual autocorrelations do not differ significantly from zero because the t-statistics of all autocorrelations are less than the critical t-statistic of 1.98. Therefore, because all random walks have unit roots, the exchange rate time series used to run Regression 1 has a unit root.

能写一下具体思路和计算步骤吗?
1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2020年06月12日

同学你好,

这道题目基础班课程和课后题习题课都有详细讲解,可以去听一下,如果对于讲解的内容仍有疑问,可以继续追问。

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NO.PZ201709270100000503 问题如下 3.Baseon the regression results in Exhibit 1, the origintime series of exchange rates: A.ha unit root. B.exhibits stationarity. C.cmoleusing lineregression. A is correct. If the exchange rate series is a ranm walk, then the first-fferenceseries will yiel= 0 an= 0, anthe error terms will not serially correlate The ta in Exhibit 1 show ththis is the case: Neither the intercept nor the coefficient on the first lof the first-fferenceexchange rate in Regression 2 ffers significantly from zero because the t-statistiof both coefficients are less ththe critict-statistic of 1.98. Also, the resiautocorrelations not ffer significantly from zero because the t-statistiof all autocorrelations are less ththe critict-statistic of 1.98. Therefore, because all ranm walks have unit roots, the exchange rate time series useto run Regression 1 ha unit root. 我觉得应该是差分过后的变量是随机游走

2024-08-10 00:29 1 · 回答

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2024-05-05 11:27 1 · 回答

NO.PZ201709270100000503 问题如下 3.Baseon the regression results in Exhibit 1, the origintime series of exchange rates: A.ha unit root. B.exhibits stationarity. C.cmoleusing lineregression. A is correct. If the exchange rate series is a ranm walk, then the first-fferenceseries will yiel= 0 an= 0, anthe error terms will not serially correlate The ta in Exhibit 1 show ththis is the case: Neither the intercept nor the coefficient on the first lof the first-fferenceexchange rate in Regression 2 ffers significantly from zero because the t-statistiof both coefficients are less ththe critict-statistic of 1.98. Also, the resiautocorrelations not ffer significantly from zero because the t-statistiof all autocorrelations are less ththe critict-statistic of 1.98. Therefore, because all ranm walks have unit roots, the exchange rate time series useto run Regression 1 ha unit root. 请老师指正

2023-12-10 11:16 3 · 回答

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2022-12-08 09:50 1 · 回答

NO.PZ201709270100000503 老师好, 我看这道题的图表看了半天没看明白。表的标题明明是说AR(1)但是表的内容里面又涉及Xt-1 - Xt-2,这不是AR2了么?谢谢老师

2021-05-19 19:19 1 · 回答