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我们 · 2020年05月22日

问一道题:NO.PZ2016072602000031

问题如下:

Counterparty A is an American company with manufacturing operations in Indonesia and its main customers in the United States, while counterparty B is an American company that manufactures its goods domestically and exports solely to Indonesia. Which one of the following transactions with either counterparty will be a wrong-way exposure for a bank?

选项:

A.

A five-year plain-vanilla IDR/USD cross-currency swap between the bank and counterparty A where the bank is USD interest rate receiver

B.

A five-year plain-vanilla IDR/USD currency option sold by the bank to counterparty A for it to buy IDR at a certain rate

C.

A five-year plain-vanilla IDRAJSD cross-currency swap between the bank and counterparty B where the bank is USD interest rate receiver

D.

A five-year plain-vanilla IDR/USD currency option bought by the bank from counterparty B for the bank to buy IDR at a certain rate

解释:

C is correct. This is an example of a wrong-way exposure, where a gain on the instrument for the bank is associated with a higher probability of default (PD) for its counterparty. If the IDR depreciates, counterparty A will make a profit because its costs will go down in dollars; conversely for counterparty B, because its dollar revenues will decrease. Under c., the company pays USD and receives IDR. This transaction will create a loss if the IDR depreciates. In this situation, counterparty B will lose money as well on its exports. Hence, this is a wrong-way trade.

请问这道题如何理解呢?

2 个答案

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2020年07月16日

对的~

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2020年05月22日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


这题就是就是问基于A和B的经营模式,那种情况对于银行来说是WWR。也就是对银行来说exposure增加的时候,PD也增加。

C选项的情景下B公司付美元,收印尼盾,当印尼盾贬值时,B公司在这个swap里亏钱,同时B公司的产品是在美国生产出口到印尼的,卖产品收回印尼盾换成美元变少了(运营变差)PD会增加,所以exposure和PD都增加,WWR。

 


-------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!


ganopy · 2020年07月16日

A选项是不是这样的: 银行收美元,美元升值的话银行赚钱,美元升值对处于美国的A公司也有好处,所以不是WWR?

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