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Hugogooo · 2020年05月04日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018103102000003

问题如下:

At the time of purchase, Jacques used CAPM to estimate a required return for PZ by incorporating an unadjusted historical equity risk premium estimate for the US equity market. However, the US equity market has experienced a meaningful string of favorable inflation and productivity surprises for past several years. In order to mitigate that concern, the historical equity risk premium Jacques used as an estimate of the forward-looking equity risk premium should be:

选项:

A.

adjusted upward

B.

adjusted downward

C.

left unchanged

解释:

B is correct.

考点:Equity risk premium

解析:B是正确的。一系列有利的通胀和经济增长的惊喜可能会带来一系列高回报,从而提高股票风险溢价的历史平均估值。为了计算得到合理的要求回报率,分析师应下调历史的股票风险溢价。

请问思路是不是使用CAPM公式?因为市场预期较好、未调整,所以RM-Rf偏高,导致Re偏高,所以要向下调低?

1 个答案

Debrah_品职答疑助手 · 2020年05月06日

同学你好,这是是利用CAPM来解题。你的理解是正确的。这里的通货膨胀高和经济增长的利好主要影响的是历史上市场的平均表现Rm(不影响无风险利率Rf),Rm比较大,因此ERP就会比较大。你用比较高ERP来估计将来ERP,因此需要往下调。

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