开发者:上海品职教育科技有限公司 隐私政策详情

应用版本:4.2.11(IOS)|3.2.5(安卓)APP下载

我们 · 2020年04月23日

问一道题:NO.PZ2019042401000043

问题如下:

PZ has set up a defined benefit pension scheme with $150m in assets and $135m in liabilities.

We assme that:

The expected annual return of pension assets is 7.5percent. and the volatility is 10percent..

Debt is expected to grow at 5 percent a year and fluctuate at 4.5 percent.

The correlation coefficient between asset income and the growth of liability is 0.7.

Calculate the 95% surplus at risk of the pension.

选项:

A.

$14.62 million.

B.

$28.37 million.

C.

$20.12 million.

D.

$7.83 million.

解释:

A is correct.

考点:pension plan surplus at risk计算

解析:

第一步: 计算surplus 的预期增长

Expected surplus growth = growth in asstes – growth in liabilities

Expected surplus growth = ($150m x 0.075)-($135m x 0.05)

Expected surplus growth = $11.25m-6.75m= 4.5m

2019042401000043
第一步: 计算surplus 的预期增长
Expected surplus growth = growth in asstes – growth in liabilities
Expected surplus growth = ($150m * 0.075)-($135m *0.05)
Expected surplus growth = $11.25m-6.75m= 4.5 m


第二步: 计算组合的方差和标准差
Variance of surplus = (150*0.1)^2 + (135*0.045)^2 – 2*(150*0.1*135*0.045*0.7) = 134.33
Volatility of surplus =11.59


第三步:计算组合的VaR
Surplus at risk = 4.5 – 1.65*11.59 = -14.62 m

请问对于`W·这个weight,什么时候用dollar,什么时候用percent的形式呢?

之前有一个题算VAR的 σ 时候用的就是百分比(2.4/6=40%),但是它也给出了具体的金额,并没有直接用具体的金额来做。

这个题也给出了具体的金额,却直接用具体的金额作为weight来计算。

2 个答案

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2020年04月24日

对的

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2020年04月23日

同学你好,都可以的,结果也都一样。

这个完全看个人喜好,我是喜欢用具体金额算的。

当然你也可以根据选项判断是用百分比还是用具体金额。

我们 · 2020年04月24日

那就是说,如果在之前计算的时候用的百分比,最后用Z*σ的时候就要乘以dollar,如果之前就用了金额,最后就不用乘以dollar了,是吗

  • 2

    回答
  • 0

    关注
  • 359

    浏览
相关问题

NO.PZ2019042401000043问题如下PZ hset up a finebenefit pension scheme with $150m in assets an$135m in liabilities.We assme that:The expecteannureturn of pension assets is 7.5percent. anthe volatility is 10percent..is expecteto grow 5 percent a yeanfluctuate 4.5 percent.The correlation coefficient between asset income anthe growth of liability is 0.7.Calculate the 95% surplus risk of the pension.A.$14.62 million.B.$28.37 million.C.$20.12 million.$7.83 million. A is correct.考点pension plsurplus risk计算解析第一步: 计算surplus 的预期增长Expectesurplus growth = growth in asstes – growth in liabilitiesExpectesurplus growth = ($150m x 0.075)-($135m x 0.05)Expectesurplus growth = $11.25m-6.75m= 4.5m第二步: 计算组合的方差和标准差Varianof surplus = (150*0.1)^2 + (135*0.045)^2 – 2*(150*0.1*135*0.045*0.7) = 134.33Volatility of surplus =11.59第三步计算组合的VaRSurplus risk = 4.5 – 1.65*11.59 = -14.62 m 老师, 可以一下 为什么 计算组合方差 a平方 +b 平方 + 2 a*相关性吗 ? 为什么这里是减去 呢 ?

2024-09-23 14:27 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2019042401000043 问题如下 PZ hset up a finebenefit pension scheme with $150m in assets an$135m in liabilities.We assme that:The expecteannureturn of pension assets is 7.5percent. anthe volatility is 10percent..is expecteto grow 5 percent a yeanfluctuate 4.5 percent.The correlation coefficient between asset income anthe growth of liability is 0.7.Calculate the 95% surplus risk of the pension. A.$14.62 million. B.$28.37 million. C.$20.12 million. $7.83 million. A is correct.考点pension plsurplus risk计算解析第一步: 计算surplus 的预期增长Expectesurplus growth = growth in asstes – growth in liabilitiesExpectesurplus growth = ($150m x 0.075)-($135m x 0.05)Expectesurplus growth = $11.25m-6.75m= 4.5m2019042401000043第一步: 计算surplus 的预期增长Expectesurplus growth = growth in asstes – growth in liabilitiesExpectesurplus growth = ($150m * 0.075)-($135m *0.05)Expectesurplus growth = $11.25m-6.75m= 4.5 m第二步: 计算组合的方差和标准差Varianof surplus = (150*0.1)^2 + (135*0.045)^2 – 2*(150*0.1*135*0.045*0.7) = 134.33Volatility of surplus =11.59第三步计算组合的VaRSurplus risk = 4.5 – 1.65*11.59 = -14.62 m expectesurplus为什么不用 μ=A×(1+RA)−L×(1+RL)

2022-06-17 13:47 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2019042401000043 第二步: 计算组合的方差和标准差 Varianof surplus = (150*0.1)^2 + (135*0.045)^2 – 2*(150*0.1*135*0.045*0.7) = 134.33 Volatility of surplus =11.59 为什么算Varianof surplus时,weight用到的是volatility的数值呢

2021-09-28 11:44 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2019042401000043 老师好,在计算surplus growth 的时候,答案解析用的是下图一的方法,想问一下为什么不是图二标黄公式讲义里面讲到的方法?这两个growth有什么区别?

2021-04-04 10:45 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2019042401000043 95%置信度不应该对应的是1.96的系数吗?

2021-03-31 22:14 2 · 回答