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Yuyu · 2020年04月06日

问一道题:NO.PZ2016022702000002

问题如下:

Consider spot rates for three zero-coupon bonds: r(1) = 3%. r(2) = 4%. and r(3) = 5%. Which statement is correct? The forward rate for a one-year loan beginning in one year will be:

选项:

A.

less than the forward rate for a one-year loan beginning in two-years.

B.

greater than the forward rate for a two-year loan beginning in one-year.

C.

greater than the forward rate for a one-year loan beginning in two-years.

解释:

A is correct

The forward rate for a one-year loan beginning in one-year f(1,1) is

1.042/1.031=5%1.04^2/1.03-1=5\%

The rate for a one-year loan beginning in two-year f(2,1) is 1.053/1.0421=7%1.05^3/1.04^2-1=7\% . This confirms that an upward sloping yield curve is consistent with an upward sloping forward curve.

此题若定性判断,spot rate curve倾斜向上,因此它对应的forward curve也应如此。不知这个思路是否OK?

1 个答案
已采纳答案

吴昊_品职助教 · 2020年04月07日

本题正确选项A选项没有办法直接用你说的方法来定性判断,因为forward curve有很多条,f(1,1)和f(1,2)...f(1,n)是在同一条收益率曲线上,而f(2,1)和f(1,1)并不在同一条forward curve上,无法直接从forward curve向上倾斜比较f(1,1)和f(2,1)的大小。最为精准的还是通过计算来比较。