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ysr1990 · 2020年03月28日

问一道题:NO.PZ2016070201000010

问题如下:

All of the following items are generally considered advantages of non-parametric estimation methods except:

选项:

A.

ability to accommodate skewed data.

B.

availability of data.

C.

use of historical data.

D.

little or no reliance on covariance matrices

解释:

The use of historical data in non-parametric analysis is a disadvantage, not an advantage. If the estimation period was quiet (volatile) then the estimated risk measures may understate (overstate) the current risk level. Generally, the largest VaR cannot exceed the largest loss in the historical period. On the other hand, the remaining choices are all considered advantages of non-parametric methods. For instance, the non-parametric nature of the analysis can accommodate skewed data, data points are readily available, and there is no requirement for estimates or covariance matrices.

历史数据是缺陷?应该是算优点啊。。

1 个答案

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2020年03月28日

同学你好,单独说使用历史数据的话,我个人观点是“比较中性”。尤其是相对其他3个选项,所以不选。解析里也说了使用历史数据不好的地方。虽然它确实是真实的情况,但是因为历史波动,或者处于周期的位置不一定一样,所以也不一定可以用于测试当前。

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历史数据不能用是不是历史不能预测未来这意思?

2020-07-07 17:20 1 · 回答

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