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可咪与灰妞 · 2020年03月25日

问一道题:NO.PZ2019011002000015

问题如下:

Li and Wang are two junior analysts in a wealth management company. In a discussion about the shape of credit curve, they made the following statements:

Li’s statement: Upward-sloping credit curves imply a greater likelihood of default in later years, whereas downward-sloping credit curves imply a greater probability of default in the earlier years.

Wang agrees with Li, and adds:

Wang’s statement: Downward-sloping curves are less common and often a result of severe near-term stress in the financial markets.

According to the information above, which statement is incorrect?

选项:

A.

Li’s statement is incorrect.

B.

Wang’s statement is incorrect.

C.

Neither of the statements is incorrect.

解释:

C is correct.

考点:Credit spread curve形状的理解

解析:

两个Statements都是正确的。一般来说Credit spread curve向上倾斜,代表着长期更大的违约可能;而向下倾斜,代表着短期更大的违约概率;因此Li的Statement正确。两种形状的Credit curve,更常见的是Upward-sloping的,向下倾斜的较少,代表着短期金融市场较大的风险。

请问两种形状的Credit curve,更常见的是Upward-sloping的,向下倾斜的较少,代表着短期金融市场较大的风险。如果是向上倾斜从X轴(时间)看不应该是短期的Credit spread更小,长期的Credit spread更大吗,答案怎么说代表着短期金融市场较大的风险

1 个答案

WallE_品职答疑助手 · 2020年03月25日

同学你好,

您估计是看答案的时候断错句子了吧。

Wang’s statement: Downward-sloping curves are less common and often a result of severe near-term stress in the financial markets.

王说的是,曲线向下倾斜的时候是不常见的,向下倾斜的时候会导致短期金融市场有压力(风险较大,spread大)

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