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赵小瓜 · 2020年03月18日

问一道题:NO.PZ2019010402000001

问题如下:

A trader is looking for an arbitrage opportunity relating to a bond futures based on following information:

  • Ÿ Quoted futures price=103
  • Ÿ Conversion factor=1.02
  • Ÿ One month remaining to expiration, no coupon during this period
  • Ÿ Quoted bond price=108
  • Ÿ AI0=0.1
  • Ÿ AIT=0.15
  • Ÿ Annual compounded risk-free rate=0.2%

The arbitrage profit is closest to:

选项:

A.

0.8965

B.

2.9075

C.

1.3253

解释:

B is correct.

考点:fixed-income futures定价

解析:

No-arbitrage futures price:

F0(T) =(108+0.1) (1 + 0.002)1/12-0.15=107.968

市场中的futures price=quoted futures price * CF=103*1.02=105.06

arbitrage profit应该是两个futures price之差的现值

所以arbitrage profit= (107.968105.06)(1+0.2%)1/12=2.9075\frac{(107.968-105.06)}{{(1+0.2\%)}^{1/12}}=2.9075

求No-arbitrage futures price画图:(该题合约期间没有coupon,所以PVC=0)

老师您好,我想问一下,这道题目如何逃离,不是先借债券换成现金收利息,然后到期还债券,赚了个利息的差?那不就是未来才可以获利?那不是应该算未来的值?为什么要折现到现在

1 个答案

xiaowan_品职助教 · 2020年03月18日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


同学你好,这个套利的profit我们在0时刻就可以计算出来,题目中要求计算 arbitrage profit ,都是要折现到0时刻,参考例题

另外,套利的方式我们可以选择在到期日拿到这笔利润,我们也可以选择在0时刻先借这笔利润折现到0时刻的值,获得资金使用权,

等到期时,再用获得的利润去偿还我们多借出的这笔钱,相当于提前使用了利润。


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