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薛真 · 2020年03月16日

问一道题:NO.PZ2020021204000037

问题如下:

The Eurodollar futures price for a contract that matures in three years is 95.75. The standard deviation of the change in the short rate in one year is 0.8%. Estimate the continuously compounded forward rate between three and 3.25 years.

选项:

解释:

The actual/360 futures rate is 100 - 95.75 = 4.25. This is 4.25 X 365/360 = 4.3090% on an actual/actual basis.

This rate is compounded quarterly. The rate with continuous compounding is 4 X ln(1 + 0.043090/4) = 0.042860

or 4.2860%. The convexity adjustment is 0.5 X 0.0082 X 3 X 3.25 = 0.000312

An estimate of the continuously compounded forward rate is therefore:

0.042860 - 0.000312 = 0.042548 or 4.255%.

为什么利率用(1+r/4)不用(1+R)^0.25,谢谢老师

1 个答案

小刘_品职助教 · 2020年03月16日

同学你好,

这道题是这样的,先将A/360转化为A/A,然后再转化为连续复利。

计算出来A/A利率是4.3090% ,按季复利,所以是(1+0.043090/4)=e^(r*0.25)

计算出r就是复利形式,等式两边同时取对数r=4*ln(1+0.043090/4)

不用(1+R)^0.25是因为A/A不是连续复利

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NO.PZ2020021204000037问题如下The Eurollfutures prifor a contrathmatures in three years is 95.75. The stanrviation of the change in the short rate in one yeis 0.8%. Estimate the continuously compounforwarrate between three an3.25 years.The actual/360 futures rate is 100 - 95.75 = 4.25. This is 4.25 X 365/360 = 4.3090% on actual/actubasis.This rate is compounquarterly. The rate with continuous compounng is 4 X ln(1 + 0.043090/4) = 0.042860or 4.2860%. The convexity austment is 0.5 X 0.0082 X 3 X 3.25 = 0.000312estimate of the continuously compounforwarrate is therefore:0.042860 - 0.000312 = 0.042548 or 4.255%. 4.25*365/360=4.3090%4.3090%/4=1.0773%e^1.0773%*4 是这样么?

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