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Amber · 2020年02月29日

问一道题:NO.PZ2019103001000060

问题如下:

Regarding inter-market trades in general her notes indicate:

IV. Inter-market trades should be assessed based on currency-hedged returns.

V. Anticipated changes in yield spreads are the primary driver of inter-market trades.

VI. Whether a bond offers a relatively attractive return depends on both the portfolio’s base currency and the currency in which the bond is denominated.

Which of Winslow’s statements about inter-market trades is incorrect?

选项:

A.

Statement IV

B.

Statement V

C.

Statement VI

解释:

C is correct.

Winslow’s Statement VI is incorrect. Due to covered interest arbitrage, the relative attractiveness of bonds does not depend on the currency into which they are hedged for comparison. Hence, the ranking of bonds does not depend on the base currency of the portfolio.

A is incorrect because Winslow’s Statement IV is correct. Inter-market trades should be assessed on the basis of returns hedged into a common currency. Doing so ensures that they are comparable. Neither local currency returns nor unhedged returns are comparable across markets because they involve different currency exposures/risks.

B is incorrect because Winslow’s Statement V is correct. The primary driver of inter-market trades is anticipated changes in yield differentials. Over horizons most relevant for active bond management, the capital gains/losses arising from yield movements generally dominate the income component of return (i.e., carry) and rolling down the curve. Hence, expectations with respect to yield movements are the primary driver of inter-market trade decisions.

我是想請教老師關於 Example 1: Inter-Market Positioning (3),第一步是要看同一個市場下哪個收益率最高,但為什麼講義94頁是拿89頁的來計算而不是86頁的2/5/10/30年債券的return來算呢? 謝謝老師

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发亮_品职助教 · 2020年03月01日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


“我是想請教老師關於 Example 1: Inter-Market Positioning (3),第一步是要看同一個市場下哪個收益率最高,但為什麼講義94頁是拿89頁的來計算而不是86頁的2/5/10/30年債券的return來算呢?”


在我们讲的Yield curve strategies这个Reading里,所有的策略都是和利率预期的时间匹配的。

例如,预期未来6个月内收益率曲线Stable,所以做的策略就仅仅是针对未来6个月的;或者预期利率曲线未来12个月Stable,策略的投资期就仅仅针对这12个月。

这道Case里面,题干是对未来6个月的利率做出了预期,所以这道题里面所有的策略都是仅仅针对未来6个月的:



86页的表格,就仅仅是债券收益率的表格,代表债券的Yield-to-maturity,即年化的持有至到期收益率。

然后89页,是利用86页的利率信息,专门算了一下未来6个月投资期,各个债券的收益率:




既然,我们这道题所有策略都是基于未来6个月,所以后面算收益时,都是基于89页6-month return的表格。


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NO.PZ2019103001000060 麻烦老师下A谢谢

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